NBA Prop Bets: Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets (January 14, 2026)

The Denver Nuggets (27-13) face the Dallas Mavericks (15-25) at American Airlines Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Mavericks are favored to win at -122, currently marked as 1.5-point favorites, while the Nuggets are at +102. The total points line is set at 224.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 113-112 Dallas.

• The Nuggets (-110) have a 24-16-0 ATS record this season, while the Mavericks (-110) hold a record of 17-22-1.
• The Nuggets have a 25-15-0 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total points line and 15 have gone under). The Mavericks have a 16-24-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Nuggets are averaging 122.7 points per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Mavericks are averaging only 113.0 (24th).
• Defensively, the Nuggets are giving up 117.4 points per game this season (20th in the league), while the Mavericks are giving up an average of 116.8 points (19th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Nuggets currently rank 26th for pace this season, recording 98.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Mavericks sit 5th on that scale with 101.6 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 40.1% of the Nuggets' field goal attempts come from three point range (22nd in the league), leaving 59.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' opponents are taking 37.9% of their attempts from three (9th) and 62.1% from two.
• Comparatively, Dallas takes 35.8% of shots from three (26th), leaving 64.2% from two, while Denver's opponents are attempting 41.5% from three (21st) and 58.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Nuggets are shooting 40.2% from deep in 2025/26 (1st in the NBA), compared to the Mavericks who are making an underwhelming 34.0% of their attempts (27th).
• On the opposite end, Denver is holding opponents to 35.7% of their three-point attempts (15th), while Dallas' opponents are hitting 32.9% of their shots (1st).

Ball Protection

• The Nuggets are committing 13.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 3rd in the league, while the Mavericks are forcing 13.7 turnovers (23rd).
• Flipping that script, Denver is forcing 12.3 turnovers (30th), while Dallas is committing 15.5 (22nd).

Crashing the Boards

• Denver is pulling down 43.0 rebounds per game this season (23rd in the league), including 9.8 offensive boards (27th). Conversely, Dallas' opponents are averaging 47.4 rebounds (T28th), 12.6 of which have come on the offensive end (29th).
• Meanwhile, the Mavericks are averaging 44.5 rebounds (13th) and 9.9 offensive rebounds (25th), while the Nuggets are allowing 42.5 and 11.7, ranking 7th and 21st.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Nuggets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Denver holds a 4-2 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 4-2-0 ATS record and 5-1-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Dallas has a 5-6 W-L record, 7-4-0 ATS record and 5-6-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Denver is -102 to win the first quarter, while Dallas is -118. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Denver	25-14-1	12-5-0	13-9-1	19-10-1	6-4-0	5-5-0
Dallas	14-24-2	10-10-1	4-14-1	6-8-0	8-16-2	3-7-0

First Half Winner

Denver is +102 to win the first half and Dallas is -122. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Denver	24-13-3	14-3-0	10-10-3	20-9-1	4-4-2	3-4-3
Dallas	14-25-1	8-12-1	6-13-0	6-8-0	8-17-1	3-7-0

HT/FT

Denver is +140 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Dallas is +125.

• The Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 45.0% of games this season, while the Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 20.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +1100 to go to overtime.

• The Nuggets have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Mavericks have also appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 27 of Denver's 40 games this season. Meanwhile, 21 of Dallas' 40 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Dallas recorded an upset 131-130 victory over Denver at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on December 23. Despite being on the losing side, Nikola Jokic facilitated the offense on that day, finishing with 29 points and 14 assists.