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NBA Prop Bets: Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards (January 17, 2026)

The Washington Wizards (10-30) face the Denver Nuggets (28-13) at Ball Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Nuggets opened as 12.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 10.5, leaving the Nuggets at -485 and Wizards at +370. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 119-108 Denver.

  • The Wizards (-112) have a 15-25-0 ATS record this season, while the Nuggets (-108) hold a record of 25-16-0.
  • The Wizards have a 20-20-0 O/U record this season (meaning 20 games have gone over the total points line and 20 have gone under). The Nuggets have a 26-15-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Wizards are averaging 112.7 points per game this season (25th in the league). Comparatively, the Nuggets are averaging +9.9 more at 122.6 points (1st).
  • Defensively, the Wizards are giving up a whopping 124.0 points per game this season (29th in the league), while the Nuggets are giving up an average of 117.2 points (20th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

  • The Wizards currently rank 8th for pace this season, recording 101.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Nuggets sit 25th on that scale with 98.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

  • Looking at field goal splits, 39.7% of the Wizards' field goal attempts come from three point range (21st in the league), leaving 60.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Nuggets' opponents are taking 41.4% of their attempts from three (21st) and 58.6% from two.
  • Comparatively, Denver takes 40.2% of shots from three (22nd), leaving 59.8% from two, while Washington's opponents are attempting 41.7% from three (25th) and 58.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

  • In terms of made three-pointers, the Wizards are shooting 35.4% from deep in 2025/26 (17th in the NBA), compared to the Nuggets who are making 40.3% of their attempts (1st).
  • On the opposite end, Washington is holding opponents to 36.5% of their three-point attempts (20th), while Denver's opponents are hitting 35.2% of their shots (11th).

Ball Protection

  • The Wizards are committing 15.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 27th in the league, while the Nuggets are forcing 12.2 turnovers (30th).
  • Flipping that script, Washington is forcing only 13.0 turnovers (27th), while Denver is committing just 13.0 (3rd).

Crashing the Boards

  • Washington is pulling down 43.8 rebounds per game this season (18th in the league), including 11.3 offensive boards (18th). Conversely, Denver's opponents are averaging 42.6 rebounds (8th), 11.7 of which have come on the offensive end (20th).
  • Meanwhile, the Nuggets are averaging 42.9 rebounds (23rd) and 9.7 offensive rebounds (27th), while the Wizards are allowing 47.8 and 13.5, ranking 30th and 30th.

Back-to-backs

  • Notably, the Wizards are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
  • Washington holds a 0-6 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 2-4-0 ATS record and 1-5-0 O/U record.
  • Additionally, Denver has a 4-3 W-L record, 4-3-0 ATS record and 6-1-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Washington is +185 to win the first quarter, while Denver is -225. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Last 10
    Washington 13-26-1 8-10-1 5-16-0 1-1-1 12-25-0 3-7-0
    Denver 26-14-1 12-5-0 14-9-1 19-10-1 7-4-0 5-5-0

First Half Winner

Washington is +260 to win the first half and Denver is -325. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Last 10
    Washington 12-28-0 7-12-0 5-16-0 2-1-0 10-27-0 3-7-0
    Denver 25-13-3 14-3-0 11-10-3 20-9-1 5-4-2 3-4-3

HT/FT

Washington is +550 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Denver is -310.

  • The Wizards have completed the HT/FT double in 20.0% of games this season, while the Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 46.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +1700 to go to overtime.

  • The Wizards have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Nuggets have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

  • Both teams have scored 110+ points in 21 of Washington's 40 games this season. Meanwhile, 27 of Denver's 41 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Washington recorded a shock 126-123 victory over Denver at Ball Arena when these teams last met on March 15, 2025. That result snapped the Nuggets' three-game winning streak against the Wizards at Ball Arena. Despite being on the losing side, Nikola Jokic came up big on that day, scoring 40 points and adding 13 rebounds.