NBA Prop Bets: Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics (February 3, 2026)

The Boston Celtics (31-18) face the Dallas Mavericks (19-30) at American Airlines Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Celtics are favored to win at -265, currently marked as 7.5-point favorites, while the Mavericks are at +215. The total points line is set at 223.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-108 Boston.

• The Mavericks (-118) have a 23-25-1 ATS record this season, while the Celtics (-102) hold a record of 27-22-0.
• The Mavericks have a 21-28-0 O/U record this season (meaning 21 games have gone over the total points line and 28 have gone under). The Celtics have a 19-30-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Mavericks are averaging 114.1 points per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Celtics are averaging 116.1 (15th).
• Defensively, the Mavericks are giving up 116.6 points per game this season (20th in the league), while the Celtics are giving up an average of 109.1 points (2nd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Mavericks currently rank 3rd for pace this season, recording 101.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Celtics sit 30th on that scale with 95.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 35.7% of the Mavericks' field goal attempts come from three point range (27th in the league), leaving 64.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Celtics' opponents are taking 45.2% of their attempts from three (26th) and 54.8% from two.
• Comparatively, Boston takes 46.5% of shots from three (2nd), leaving 53.5% from two, while Dallas' opponents are attempting 37.8% from three (7th) and 62.2% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Mavericks are shooting an underwhelming 34.4% from deep in 2025/26 (25th in the NBA), compared to the Celtics who are making 36.7% of their attempts (9th).
• On the opposite end, Dallas is holding opponents to 33.6% of their three-point attempts (1st), while Boston's opponents are hitting 36.2% of their shots (18th).

Ball Protection

• The Mavericks are committing 15.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 19th in the league, while the Celtics are forcing 13.6 turnovers (22nd).
• Flipping that script, Dallas is forcing only 13.4 turnovers (24th), while Boston is committing just 12.0 (1st).

Crashing the Boards

• Dallas is pulling down 45.1 rebounds per game this season (10th in the league), including 10.1 offensive boards (24th). Conversely, Boston's opponents are averaging 42.2 rebounds (7th), 11.5 of which have come on the offensive end (15th).
• Meanwhile, the Celtics are averaging 45.0 rebounds (11th) and 12.7 offensive rebounds (6th), while the Mavericks are allowing 46.9 and 12.4, ranking 27th and 29th.

First Quarter Winner

Dallas is +130 to win the first quarter, while Boston is -155. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Dallas	17-30-2	12-15-1	5-15-1	8-9-0	9-21-2	4-6-0
Boston	30-16-3	16-7-1	14-9-2	22-10-3	8-6-0	5-3-2

First Half Winner

Dallas is +160 to win the first half and Boston is -192. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Dallas	18-30-1	11-16-1	7-14-0	8-9-0	10-21-1	5-5-0
Boston	31-15-3	16-6-2	15-9-1	25-8-2	6-7-1	6-4-0

HT/FT

Dallas is +295 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Boston is -160.

• The Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 24.5% of games this season, while the Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 46.9% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.

• The Mavericks have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Celtics have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 26 of Dallas' 49 games this season. Meanwhile, 19 of Boston's 49 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Dallas recorded a shock 127-120 victory over Boston at TD Garden when these teams last met on February 6, 2025. Despite being on the losing side, Payton Pritchard was influential on that day, recording 21 points, six rebounds and six assists. That result snapped the Celtics' five-game winning streak against the Mavericks at TD Garden.