NBA Prop Bets: Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors (February 5, 2026)

The Golden State Warriors (27-24) face the Phoenix Suns (31-20) at Mortgage Matchup Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Suns opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 5.5, leaving the Suns at -230 and Warriors at +190. The total points line is set at 214.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 110-104 Phoenix.

• The Suns (-115) have a 33-16-2 ATS record this season, while the Warriors (-105) hold a record of 24-27-0.
• The Suns have a 22-29-0 O/U record this season (meaning 22 games have gone over the total points line and 29 have gone under). The Warriors have a 29-21-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Suns are averaging 114.1 points per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Warriors are averaging 116.2 (14th).
• Defensively, the Suns are giving up only 111.6 points per game this season (5th in the league), while the Warriors are giving up an average of 114.0 points (10th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Suns currently rank 22nd for pace this season, recording 98.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Warriors sit 13th on that scale with 100.1 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 44.3% of the Suns' field goal attempts come from three point range (8th in the league), leaving 55.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Warriors' opponents are taking 40.1% of their attempts from three (8th) and 59.9% from two.
• Comparatively, Golden State takes 50.5% of shots from three (1st), leaving 49.5% from two, while Phoenix's opponents are attempting 41.0% from three (6th) and 59.0% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Suns are shooting 36.8% from deep in 2025/26 (9th in the NBA), compared to the Warriors who are making 36.5% of their attempts (11th).
• On the opposite end, Phoenix is holding opponents to 34.6% of their three-point attempts (3rd), while Golden State's opponents are hitting 35.4% of their shots (9th).

Ball Protection

• The Suns are committing 15.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 20th in the league, while the Warriors are forcing 16.1 turnovers (4th).
• Flipping that script, Phoenix is forcing 16.9 turnovers (3rd), while Golden State is committing a potentially problematic 15.6 per contest (27th).

Crashing the Boards

• Phoenix is pulling down 43.1 rebounds per game this season (20th in the league), including 12.9 offensive boards (5th). Conversely, Golden State's opponents are averaging 45.1 rebounds (23rd), 11.8 of which have come on the offensive end (19th).
• Meanwhile, the Warriors are averaging 42.7 rebounds (23rd) and 11.0 offensive rebounds (20th), while the Suns are allowing 43.8 and 12.3, ranking 15th and 27th.

First Quarter Winner

Phoenix is -148 to win the first quarter, while Golden State is +124. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	26-23-2	13-11-0	13-12-2	14-10-0	12-13-2	4-6-0
Golden State	20-28-3	11-14-1	9-14-2	17-18-3	3-10-0	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Phoenix is -185 to win the first half and Golden State is +154. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	29-21-1	14-9-1	15-12-0	16-7-1	13-14-0	5-5-0
Golden State	29-22-0	16-10-0	13-12-0	25-13-0	4-9-0	5-5-0

HT/FT

Phoenix is -135 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Golden State is +250.

• The Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 47.1% of games this season, while the Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 43.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +1300 to go to overtime.

• The Suns have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Warriors have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 20 of Phoenix's 51 games this season. Meanwhile, 26 of Golden State's 51 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Golden State recorded a 119-116 victory over Phoenix at Chase Center when these teams last met on December 20. Despite being on the losing side, Devin Booker dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 38 points and three steals.