Jaylen Brown NBA Player Props: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat (February 6, 2026)

Jaylen Brown's points line against the Heat on Friday is set at 29.5, with over at -114 and under at -112.

• Last Five: 33 30 21 20 33
• Brown has averaged 29.5 points this season.
• Brown has averaged 26.0 points in his last four games.
• At home, Brown has averaged 28.3 points this season.
• At home, Brown has averaged 23.7 points in his last three games.
• He has exceeded this line in 27 of his 46 games (58.7%) this season.
• He has exceeded this line in each of his last two games.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in 14 of his 23 games (60.9%) this season.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in 10 of his last 15 games.
• Brown has scored 28.5 points per game in his last two appearances against the Heat.
• Brown has scored 28.2 points per game in his last five home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 118.0 points per game this season - ranking 22nd in the league.

Jaylen Brown's rebounds line against the Heat on Friday is set at 7.5, with over at +105 and under at -138.

• Last Five: 11 13 7 8 8
• Brown has averaged 7.0 rebounds this season.
• Brown has averaged 12.0 rebounds in his last two games.
• At home, Brown has averaged 7.3 rebounds this season.
• At home, Brown has averaged 10.0 rebounds in his last two games.
• He has exceeded this line in each of his last two games.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in 13 of his 23 games (56.5%) this season.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in 10 of his last 12 games.
• He has exceeded this line in only 21 of his 46 games (45.7%) this season.
• Brown has averaged 8.3 rebounds in his last three appearances against the Heat.
• Brown has averaged 9.0 rebounds in his last two home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 47.3 rebounds per game this season - ranking 29th in the league.

Jaylen Brown's assists line against the Heat on Friday is set at 4.5, with over at -110 and under at -120.

• Last Five: 3 2 3 4 5
• Brown has averaged 4.8 assists this season.
• Brown has averaged only 2.5 assists in his last two games.
• At home, Brown has averaged 4.9 assists this season.
• At home, Brown has averaged only 2.5 assists in his last two games.
• He has exceeded this line in 15 of his last 30 games.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in eight of his last 15 games.
• He has exceeded this line in only 20 of his 46 games (43.5%) this season.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in only 11 of his 23 games (47.8%) this season.
• Brown has averaged only 2.8 assists in his last 10 appearances against the Heat.
• Brown has averaged 3.1 assists in his last seven home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 27.3 assists per game this season - ranking 22nd in the league.

• Last Five: 1 1 0 4 1
• Brown has averaged 1.0 steals this season.
• Brown has averaged 1.6 steals in his last seven games.
• At home, Brown has averaged 1.1 steals this season.
• At home, Brown has averaged 2.0 steals in his last four games.
• Brown has averaged only 0.3 steals in his last three appearances against the Heat.
• Brown has averaged only 0.5 steals in his last six home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 8.3 steals per game this season - ranking 12th in the league.

• Last Five: 0 0 1 0 1
• Brown has averaged 0.4 blocks this season.
• Brown has averaged only 0.0 blocks in his last two games.
• At home, Brown has averaged 0.4 blocks this season.
• At home, Brown has averaged only 0.1 blocks in his last eight games.
• Brown has averaged only 0.0 blocks in his last six appearances against the Heat.
• Brown has averaged only 0.0 blocks in his last four home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 5.3 blocks per game this season - ranking 23rd in the league.

Jaylen Brown's three-pointers line against the Heat on Friday is set at 2.5, with over at +143 and under at -190.

• Last Five: 2 4 0 1 2
• Brown has averaged 2.2 three-pointers this season.
• Brown has averaged 3.0 three-pointers in his last two games.
• At home, Brown has averaged 1.9 three-pointers this season.
• At home, Brown has averaged 1.5 three-pointers in his last four games.
• He has exceeded this line in one of his last two games.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in one of his last two games.
• He has exceeded this line in only 13 of his 46 games (28.3%) this season.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in only five of his 23 games (21.7%) this season.
• Brown has averaged 2.5 three-pointers in his last four appearances against the Heat.
• Brown has averaged 2.7 three-pointers in his last seven home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 14.0 three-pointers per game this season - ranking 24th in the league.

Looking at the First Basket market, Brown is +443.

• He has scored the first basket in eight of his 46 games (17.4%) this season.
• He scored the first basket in one of his last two games.
• At home, he has scored the first basket in three of his last 16 games.
• Brown has scored the first basket in two of his last nine appearances against the Heat.
• Brown has scored the first basket in two of his last six home appearances against the Heat.
• Miami has given up the first basket in 32 of 52 games this season.

Brown is +265 to record a double-double.

• Brown has recorded a double-double in 10 of his 46 games (21.7%) this season.
• Brown has recorded a double-double in each of his last two games.
• At home, he has recorded a double-double in four of his 23 games (17.4%) this season.
• At home, he has recorded a double-double in two of his last four games.
• Brown has recorded a double-double in two of his 26 career home appearances against the Heat.
• There have been 48 double-doubles recorded against Miami this season - ranking 24th in the league.
• There have been 38 Points-Rebounds double-doubles recorded against Miami this season - ranking T24th in the league.
• There have been 15 Points-Assists double-doubles recorded against Miami this season - ranking T25th in the league.

As for recording a triple-double, Brown is +4100.

• Brown has recorded a triple-double in two of his 46 games (4.3%) this season.
• Brown has recorded a triple-double in one of his last six games.
• There have been 5 triple-doubles recorded against Miami this season - ranking T25th in the league.