NBA Prop Bets: Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors (February 7, 2026)

The Golden State Warriors (28-24) face the Los Angeles Lakers (31-19) at Crypto.com Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Lakers are favored to win at -125, currently marked as 2.5-point favorites, while the Warriors are at +105. The total points line is set at 220.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-109 LA Lakers.

• The Lakers (-112) have a 26-22-2 ATS record this season, while the Warriors (-108) hold a record of 25-27-0.
• The Lakers have a 28-22-0 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total points line and 22 have gone under). The Warriors have a 29-22-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Lakers are averaging 116.4 points per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Warriors are averaging 115.9 (14th).
• Defensively, the Lakers are giving up 116.2 points per game this season (18th in the league), while the Warriors are giving up an average of 113.6 points (10th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Lakers currently rank 20th for pace this season, recording 98.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Warriors sit 15th on that scale with 99.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 40.4% of the Lakers' field goal attempts come from three point range (23rd in the league), leaving 59.6% from two. Meanwhile, the Warriors' opponents are taking 40.3% of their attempts from three (9th) and 59.7% from two.
• Comparatively, Golden State takes 50.9% of shots from three (1st), leaving 49.1% from two, while the Lakers' opponents are attempting 42.0% from three (16th) and 58.0% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Lakers are shooting 34.9% from deep in 2025/26 (21st in the NBA), compared to the Warriors who are making 36.5% of their attempts (11th).
• On the opposite end, the Lakers are holding opponents to 36.7% of their three-point attempts (23rd), while Golden State's opponents are hitting 35.4% of their shots (10th).

Ball Protection

• The Lakers are committing 14.9 turnovers per game this season, ranking 19th in the league, while the Warriors are forcing 16.0 turnovers (4th).
• Flipping that script, the Lakers are forcing 14.7 turnovers (15th), while Golden State is committing 15.6 (27th).

Crashing the Boards

• The Lakers are pulling down 41.3 rebounds per game this season (26th in the league), including 9.9 offensive boards (26th). Conversely, Golden State's opponents are averaging 44.9 rebounds (20th), 11.7 of which have come on the offensive end (17th).
• Meanwhile, the Warriors are averaging 42.8 rebounds (22nd) and 11.0 offensive rebounds (20th), while the Lakers are allowing 40.7 and 10.9, ranking 3rd and 7th.

First Quarter Winner

The Lakers are -122 to win the first quarter, while Golden State is +102. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
LA Lakers	21-27-2	8-12-1	13-15-1	16-12-2	5-15-0	6-4-0
Golden State	20-29-3	11-14-1	9-15-2	17-18-3	3-11-0	6-4-0

First Half Winner

The Lakers are -130 to win the first half and Golden State is +110. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
LA Lakers	20-28-2	9-12-0	11-16-2	14-16-0	6-12-2	6-4-0
Golden State	30-22-0	16-10-0	14-12-0	25-13-0	5-9-0	5-5-0

HT/FT

The Lakers are +110 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Golden State is +165.

• The Lakers have completed the HT/FT double in 38.0% of games this season, while the Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 44.2% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +1300 to go to overtime.

• The Lakers have not played in a game that went to overtime this season. Comparatively, the Warriors have appeared in two such contests.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 26 of the Lakers' 50 games this season. Meanwhile, 26 of Golden State's 52 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Golden State recorded a 119-109 victory over the Lakers at Crypto.com Arena when these teams last met on October 21. Despite being on the losing side, Luka Doncic came up big on that day, scoring 43 points and adding 12 rebounds.