NBA Prop Bets: Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz (February 9, 2026)

The Utah Jazz (16-37) face the Miami Heat (28-26) at Kaseya Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Heat opened as 9.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 6.5, leaving the Heat at -270 and Jazz at +220. The total points line is set at 239.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 123-116 Miami.

• The Heat (-108) have a 30-23-1 ATS record this season, while the Jazz (-112) hold a record of 29-24-0.
• The Heat have a 27-26-1 O/U record this season (meaning 27 games have gone over the total points line, 26 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Jazz have a 32-21-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Heat are averaging 119.7 points per game this season (3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Jazz are averaging 118.3 (6th).
• Defensively, the Heat are giving up 117.3 points per game this season (21st in the league), while the Jazz are giving up an average of 126.7 points (30th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Heat currently rank 1st for pace this season, recording 104.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Jazz sit 4th on that scale with 101.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 39.3% of the Heat's field goal attempts come from three point range (16th in the league), leaving 60.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Jazz's opponents are taking 45.6% of their attempts from three (30th) and 54.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Utah takes 40.9% of shots from three (17th), leaving 59.1% from two, while Miami's opponents are attempting 42.7% from three (27th) and 57.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Heat are shooting 36.2% from deep in 2025/26 (12th in the NBA), compared to the Jazz who are making 35.0% of their attempts (19th).
• On the opposite end, Miami is holding opponents to 34.8% of their three-point attempts (6th), while Utah's opponents are doing things easier, hitting 37.4% of their shots (28th).

Ball Protection

• The Heat are committing 14.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking T10th in the league, while the Jazz are forcing 13.6 turnovers (21st).
• Flipping that script, Miami is forcing 15.9 turnovers (7th), while Utah is committing a potentially problematic 15.8 per contest (29th).

Crashing the Boards

• Miami is pulling down 46.8 rebounds per game this season (2nd in the league), including 11.9 offensive boards (11th). Conversely, Utah's opponents are averaging 44.9 rebounds (T21st), 11.6 of which have come on the offensive end (18th).
• Meanwhile, the Jazz are averaging 44.0 rebounds (14th) and 11.8 offensive rebounds (13th), while the Heat are allowing 47.2 and 11.9, ranking 29th and 23rd.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Jazz are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Utah holds a 6-5 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 6-5-0 ATS record and 8-3-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Miami has a 5-1 W-L record, 5-1-0 ATS record and 2-4-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Miami is -162 to win the first quarter, while Utah is +136. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Miami	33-20-1	14-12-0	19-8-1	19-8-0	14-12-1	6-4-0
Utah	20-31-2	12-13-2	8-18-0	2-4-0	18-27-2	2-7-1

First Half Winner

Miami is -198 to win the first half and Utah is +164. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Miami	33-19-2	18-7-1	15-12-1	20-7-0	13-12-2	8-2-0
Utah	18-34-1	12-15-0	6-19-1	2-3-1	16-31-0	4-5-1

HT/FT

Miami is -150 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Utah is +295.

• The Heat have completed the HT/FT double in 44.4% of games this season, while the Jazz have completed the HT/FT double in 15.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Monday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.

• The Heat have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Jazz have appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 34 of Miami's 54 games this season. Meanwhile, 37 of Utah's 53 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Miami recorded a 147-116 blowout victory against Utah at Delta Center when these teams last met on January 24. Despite being on the losing side, Jusuf Nurkic had a triple-double for the ages on that day, finishing with 17 points, 10 rebounds and 12 assists.