NBA Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks (February 9, 2026)
The Atlanta Hawks (26-29) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (33-22) at Target Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Timberwolves opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 8.5, leaving the Timberwolves at -325 and Hawks at +260. The total points line is set at 239.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 124-116 Minnesota.
- The Timberwolves (-118) have a 24-31-0 ATS record this season, while the Hawks (-102) hold a record of 26-29-0.
- The Timberwolves have a 27-28-0 O/U record this season (meaning 27 games have gone over the total points line and 28 have gone under). The Hawks have a 29-26-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Timberwolves are averaging 119.4 points per game this season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Hawks are averaging 117.5 (8th).
- Defensively, the Timberwolves are giving up 114.9 points per game this season (12th in the league), while the Hawks are giving up an average of 118.8 points (25th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Timberwolves currently rank 10th for pace this season, recording 100.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Hawks sit 2nd on that scale with 102.2 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 42.7% of the Timberwolves' field goal attempts come from three point range (12th in the league), leaving 57.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Hawks' opponents are taking 40.9% of their attempts from three (15th) and 59.1% from two.
- Comparatively, Atlanta takes 42.8% of shots from three (10th), leaving 57.2% from two, while Minnesota's opponents are attempting 39.1% from three (4th) and 60.9% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Timberwolves are shooting 37.4% from deep in 2025/26 (4th in the NBA), compared to the Hawks who are making 37.1% of their attempts (6th).
- On the opposite end, Minnesota is holding opponents to 35.8% of their three-point attempts (13th), while Atlanta's opponents are hitting 35.8% of their shots (12th).
Ball Protection
- The Timberwolves are committing 14.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 14th in the league, while the Hawks are forcing 15.9 turnovers (6th).
- Flipping that script, Minnesota is forcing 15.0 turnovers (12th), while Atlanta is committing 14.4 (12th).
Crashing the Boards
- Minnesota is pulling down 44.8 rebounds per game this season (12th in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (16th). Conversely, Atlanta's opponents are averaging 46.8 rebounds (26th), 11.8 of which have come on the offensive end (20th).
- Meanwhile, the Hawks are averaging only 42.3 rebounds (25th) and 10.1 offensive rebounds (25th), while the Timberwolves are allowing an impressive 43.0 and 11.1, ranking 10th and 10th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Timberwolves are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Minnesota holds a 7-3 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 6-4-0 ATS record and 6-4-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Atlanta has a 4-6 W-L record, 4-6-0 ATS record and 5-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
- Notably, the Hawks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Notably, the Timberwolves and Hawks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
First Quarter Winner
Minnesota is -185 to win the first quarter, while Atlanta is +154. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 27-26-2 | 12-15-1 | 15-11-1 | 20-21-2 | 7-5-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Atlanta | 26-25-4 | 10-11-4 | 16-14-0 | 12-9-3 | 14-16-1 | 4-5-1 |
First Half Winner
Minnesota is -250 to win the first half and Atlanta is +205. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 26-27-2 | 14-13-1 | 12-14-1 | 19-22-2 | 7-5-0 | 6-4-0 |
| Atlanta | 26-27-2 | 10-14-1 | 16-13-1 | 14-10-0 | 12-17-2 | 5-4-1 |
HT/FT
Minnesota is -210 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Atlanta is +390.
- The Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 29.1% of games this season, while the Hawks have completed the HT/FT double in 34.5% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Monday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.
- The Timberwolves have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Hawks have appeared in one.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 32 of Minnesota's 55 games this season. Meanwhile, 33 of Atlanta's 55 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Minnesota recorded a 138-116 blowout victory against Atlanta at Target Center when these teams last met on February 9. The Timberwolves have now won four straight at Target Center against the Hawks. Julius Randle was everywhere on that day, finishing with an 18-point, 12-rebound, 10-assist triple-double.
