NBA Prop Bets: Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks (February 10, 2026)

The Dallas Mavericks (19-33) face the Phoenix Suns (31-22) at Mortgage Matchup Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Suns opened as 7.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 8.5, leaving the Suns at -340 and Mavericks at +270. The total points line is set at 229.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 119-110 Phoenix.

• The Suns (-108) have a 33-18-2 ATS record this season, while the Mavericks (-112) hold a record of 23-28-1.
• The Suns have a 22-31-0 O/U record this season (meaning 22 games have gone over the total points line and 31 have gone under). The Mavericks have a 23-29-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Suns are averaging 113.6 points per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Mavericks are averaging 114.2 (22nd).
• Defensively, the Suns are giving up only 111.4 points per game this season (5th in the league), while the Mavericks are giving up an average of 117.2 points (20th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Suns currently rank 22nd for pace this season, recording 98.0 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Mavericks sit 3rd on that scale with 101.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 44.6% of the Suns' field goal attempts come from three point range (8th in the league), leaving 55.4% from two. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' opponents are taking 37.9% of their attempts from three (10th) and 62.1% from two.
• Comparatively, Dallas takes only 35.6% of shots from three (27th), leaving 64.4% from two, while Phoenix's opponents are attempting a similarly low 41.5% from three (7th) and 58.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Suns are shooting 36.5% from deep in 2025/26 (10th in the NBA), compared to the Mavericks who are making an underwhelming 34.5% of their attempts (27th).
• On the opposite end, Phoenix is holding opponents to 34.7% of their three-point attempts (4th), while Dallas' opponents are hitting 33.9% of their shots (1st).

Ball Protection

• The Suns are committing 15.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 19th in the league, while the Mavericks are forcing 13.5 turnovers (22nd).
• Flipping that script, Phoenix is forcing 16.9 turnovers (3rd), while Dallas is committing 14.7 (18th).

Crashing the Boards

• Phoenix is pulling down 42.9 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 12.7 offensive boards (6th). Conversely, Dallas' opponents are averaging 47.1 rebounds (28th), 12.3 of which have come on the offensive end (28th).
• Meanwhile, the Mavericks are averaging 45.1 rebounds (10th) and 10.2 offensive rebounds (24th), while the Suns are allowing 44.0 and 12.2, ranking 15th and 27th.

First Quarter Winner

Phoenix is -180 to win the first quarter, while Dallas is +150. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	27-24-2	14-12-0	13-12-2	15-11-0	12-13-2	4-6-0
Dallas	17-33-2	12-17-1	5-16-1	8-9-0	9-24-2	2-8-0

First Half Winner

Phoenix is -238 to win the first half and Dallas is +195. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	29-23-1	14-11-1	15-12-0	16-9-1	13-14-0	4-6-0
Dallas	18-33-1	11-18-1	7-15-0	8-9-0	10-24-1	3-7-0

HT/FT

Phoenix is -190 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Dallas is +360.

• The Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 45.3% of games this season, while the Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 23.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

• The Suns have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Mavericks have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 20 of Phoenix's 53 games this season. Meanwhile, 28 of Dallas' 52 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Phoenix recorded a 123-114 victory over Dallas at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on November 12. Devin Booker was influential on that day, recording 26 points, nine assists and two steals. The Suns have now won three straight at American Airlines Center against the Mavericks.