NBA Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics (February 19, 2026)

The Boston Celtics (35-19) face the Golden State Warriors (29-26) at Chase Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Celtics are favored to win at -162, currently marked as 3.5-point favorites, while the Warriors are at +136. The total points line is set at 223.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-110 Boston.

• The Warriors (-108) have a 25-30-0 ATS record this season, while the Celtics (-112) hold a record of 30-24-0.
• The Warriors have a 31-23-1 O/U record this season (meaning 31 games have gone over the total points line, 23 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Celtics have a 20-34-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Warriors are averaging 115.5 points per game this season (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Celtics are averaging 115.3 (18th).
• Defensively, the Warriors are giving up 113.7 points per game this season (10th in the league), while the Celtics are giving up an average of 108.4 points (2nd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Warriors currently rank 15th for pace this season, recording 99.8 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Celtics sit 30th on that scale with 95.1 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 50.8% of the Warriors' field goal attempts come from three point range (1st in the league), leaving 49.2% from two. Notably, the Celtics' opponents are taking 44.7% of their attempts from three (24th) and 55.3% from two.
• Comparatively, Boston takes 46.5% of shots from three (2nd), leaving 53.5% from two, while Golden State's opponents are attempting 40.3% from three (7th) and 59.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors are shooting 36.2% from deep in 2025/26 (12th in the NBA), compared to the Celtics who are making 36.3% of their attempts (11th).
• On the opposite end, Golden State is holding opponents to 35.2% of their three-point attempts (9th), while Boston's opponents are hitting 36.0% of their shots (17th).

Ball Protection

• The Warriors are committing 15.6 turnovers per game this season, ranking 25th in the league, while the Celtics are forcing 13.3 turnovers (26th).
• Flipping that script, Golden State is forcing 16.1 turnovers (4th), while Boston is committing 12.1 (1st).

Crashing the Boards

• Golden State is pulling down just 42.5 rebounds per game this season (24th in the league), including 10.9 offensive boards (21st). Conversely, Boston's opponents are averaging a paltry 42.2 rebounds (7th), 11.4 of which have come on the offensive end (12th).
• Meanwhile, the Celtics are averaging 45.4 rebounds (8th) and 12.8 offensive rebounds (6th), while the Warriors are allowing 44.7 and 11.6, ranking 18th and 17th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	22-29-4	12-14-2	10-15-2	17-18-4	5-11-0	6-3-1
Boston	33-18-3	17-9-1	16-9-2	24-12-3	9-6-0	5-4-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Golden State	32-23-0	17-11-0	15-12-0	25-14-0	7-9-0	5-5-0
Boston	34-17-3	17-8-2	17-9-1	27-10-2	7-7-1	7-3-0

HT/FT

• The Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 41.8% of games this season, while the Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 48.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Warriors have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Celtics have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 28 of Golden State's 55 games this season. Meanwhile, 19 of Boston's 54 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Boston recorded a 125-85 blowout victory against Golden State at Chase Center when these teams last met on January 20, 2025. Jayson Tatum was prominent on that day, recording 22 points, nine rebounds, seven assists and two steals. That result snapped the Warriors' four-game winning streak against the Celtics at Chase Center.