NBA Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Philadelphia 76ers (February 22, 2026)

The Philadelphia 76ers (30-26) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (35-22) at Target Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Timberwolves opened as 8.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 9.5, leaving the Timberwolves at -360 and 76ers at +285. The total points line is set at 239.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 124-115 Minnesota.

The Timberwolves (-102) have a 25-32-0 ATS record this season, while the 76ers (-118) hold a record of 30-25-1.
The Timberwolves have a 28-29-0 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total points line and 29 have gone under). The 76ers have a 28-27-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Timberwolves are averaging 119.7 points per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the 76ers are averaging only 115.9 (14th).
Defensively, the Timberwolves are giving up 114.7 points per game this season (12th in the league), while the 76ers are giving up an average of 116.1 points (18th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Timberwolves currently rank 10th for pace this season, recording 100.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the 76ers sit 19th on that scale with 98.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 42.7% of the Timberwolves' field goal attempts come from three point range (12th in the league), leaving 57.3% from two. Meanwhile, the 76ers' opponents are taking 41.0% of their attempts from three (14th) and 59.0% from two.
Comparatively, Philadelphia takes 39.9% of shots from three (20th), leaving 60.1% from two, while Minnesota's opponents are attempting 39.0% from three (4th) and 61.0% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Timberwolves are shooting 37.5% from deep in 2025/26 (4th in the NBA), compared to the 76ers who are making 35.3% of their attempts (16th).
On the opposite end, Minnesota is holding opponents to 35.7% of their three-point attempts (12th), while Philadelphia's opponents are hitting 35.7% of their shots (11th).

Ball Protection

The Timberwolves are committing 14.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 16th in the league, while the 76ers are forcing 15.6 turnovers (9th).
Flipping that script, Minnesota is forcing 15.1 turnovers (13th), while Philadelphia is committing 13.8 (6th).

Crashing the Boards

Minnesota is pulling down 45.0 rebounds per game this season (9th in the league), including 11.5 offensive boards (15th). Conversely, Philadelphia's opponents are averaging 45.0 rebounds (22nd), 12.0 of which have come on the offensive end (25th).
Meanwhile, the 76ers are averaging 43.4 rebounds (19th) and 12.1 offensive rebounds (9th), while the Timberwolves are allowing 43.2 and 11.3, ranking 11th and 11th.

Back-to-backs

Notably, the Timberwolves are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
Minnesota holds a 7-3 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 6-4-0 ATS record and 6-4-0 O/U record.
Additionally, Philadelphia has a 9-4 W-L record, 8-5-0 ATS record and 9-4-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Minnesota is -192 to win the first quarter, while Philadelphia is +160. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Minnesota	29-26-2	14-15-1	15-11-1	22-21-2	7-5-0	6-4-0
Philadelphia	26-24-6	13-12-5	13-12-1	18-11-2	8-13-4	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Minnesota is -285 to win the first half and Philadelphia is +230. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Minnesota	28-27-2	16-13-1	12-14-1	21-22-2	7-5-0	7-3-0
Philadelphia	34-20-2	19-10-1	15-10-1	20-9-2	14-11-0	8-2-0

HT/FT

Minnesota is -225 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Philadelphia is +400.

The Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 31.6% of games this season, while the 76ers have completed the HT/FT double in 41.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

The Timberwolves have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the 76ers have appeared in seven.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 33 of Minnesota's 57 games this season. Meanwhile, 28 of Philadelphia's 56 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Minnesota recorded a 114-109 victory over Philadelphia at Xfinity Mobile Arena when these teams last met on April 5, 2025. Rudy Gobert cleaned the glass on that day, finishing with 19 rebounds, as well as 23 points and three blocks.