Joel Embiid NBA Player Props: Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat (February 26, 2026)

Joel Embiid's points line against the Heat on Thursday is set at 27.5, with over at -112 and under at -114.

• Last Five: 27 33 35 24 40
• Embiid has averaged 26.6 points this season.
• Embiid has averaged 32.9 points in his last eight games.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 27.8 points this season.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 38.5 points in his last two games.
• He has exceeded this line in nine of his last 11 games.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in 11 of his 18 games (61.1%) this season.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in each of his last seven games.
• He has exceeded this line in only 15 of his 32 games (46.9%) this season.
• Embiid has scored 17.0 points per game in his last two appearances against the Heat.
• Embiid has scored 19.9 points per game in his last eight home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 117.1 points per game this season - ranking 20th in the league.

Joel Embiid's rebounds line against the Heat on Thursday is set at 8.5, with over at +107 and under at -141.

• Last Five: 6 9 7 5 11
• Embiid has averaged 7.4 rebounds this season.
• Embiid has averaged 8.7 rebounds in his last 10 games.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 7.3 rebounds this season.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 10.2 rebounds in his last five games.
• He has exceeded this line in six of his last 10 games.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in five of his last six games.
• He has exceeded this line in only 12 of his 32 games (37.5%) this season.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in only seven of his 18 games (38.9%) this season.
• Embiid has averaged 11.5 rebounds in his last two appearances against the Heat.
• Embiid has averaged 12.1 rebounds in his last 10 home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 47.2 rebounds per game this season - ranking 29th in the league.

Joel Embiid's assists line against the Heat on Thursday is set at 4.5, with over at +115 and under at -151.

• Last Five: 5 3 7 3 4
• Embiid has averaged 3.9 assists this season.
• Embiid has averaged 5.6 assists in his last nine games.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 3.9 assists this season.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 6.4 assists in his last five games.
• He has exceeded this line in six of his last nine games.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in four of his last five games.
• He has exceeded this line in only 10 of his 32 games (31.3%) this season.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in only four of his 18 games (22.2%) this season.
• Embiid has averaged only 2.6 assists in his last 10 appearances against the Heat.
• Embiid has averaged only 2.3 assists in his last six home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 27.1 assists per game this season - ranking 18th in the league.

• Last Five: 0 0 1 1 1
• Embiid has averaged 0.6 steals this season.
• Embiid has averaged only 0.0 steals in his last two games.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 0.6 steals this season.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 1.0 steals in his last three games.
• Embiid has averaged only 0.3 steals in his last six appearances against the Heat.
• Embiid has averaged only 0.2 steals in his last five home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 8.2 steals per game this season - ranking 12th in the league.

• Last Five: 1 1 2 0 2
• Embiid has averaged 1.1 blocks this season.
• Embiid has averaged 0.8 blocks in his last 13 games.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 1.0 blocks this season.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 1.5 blocks in his last two games.
• Embiid has averaged only 0.5 blocks in his last two appearances against the Heat.
• Embiid has averaged 0.9 blocks in his last eight home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 5.2 blocks per game this season - ranking 22nd in the league.

Joel Embiid's three-pointers line against the Heat on Thursday is set at 1.5, with over at +144 and under at -191.

• Last Five: 1 4 1 1 3
• Embiid has averaged 1.3 three-pointers this season.
• Embiid has averaged 2.5 three-pointers in his last two games.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 1.3 three-pointers this season.
• At home, Embiid has averaged 2.0 three-pointers in his last four games.
• He has exceeded this line in one of his last two games.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in four of his last eight games.
• He has exceeded this line in only nine of his 32 games (28.1%) this season.
• At home, he has exceeded this line in only six of his 18 games (33.3%) this season.
• Embiid has averaged 2.0 three-pointers in his last three appearances against the Heat.
• Embiid has averaged 0.9 three-pointers in his last nine home appearances against the Heat.
• The Heat are giving up 13.8 three-pointers per game this season - ranking 21st in the league.

Looking at the First Basket market, Embiid is +479.

• He has scored the first basket in seven of his 32 games (21.9%) this season.
• He scored the first basket in one of his last four games.
• At home, he has scored the first basket in two of his last 11 games.
• Embiid has scored the first basket in two of his last 10 appearances against the Heat.
• Embiid has scored the first basket in one of his last seven home appearances against the Heat.
• Miami has given up the first basket in 35 of 59 games this season.

Embiid is +156 to record a double-double.

• Embiid has recorded a double-double in seven of his 32 games (21.9%) this season.
• Embiid has recorded a double-double in three of his last nine games.
• At home, he has recorded a double-double in four of his 18 games (22.2%) this season.
• At home, he has recorded a double-double in three of his last five games.
• Embiid has recorded a double-double in six of his last 10 appearances against the Heat.
• Embiid has recorded a double-double in 11 of his 14 career home appearances against the Heat.
• Embiid has recorded a double-double in six of his last seven home appearances against the Heat.
• There have been 54 double-doubles recorded against Miami this season - ranking 24th in the league.
• There have been 44 Points-Rebounds double-doubles recorded against Miami this season - ranking T24th in the league.
• There have been 16 Points-Assists double-doubles recorded against Miami this season - ranking T22nd in the league.

As for recording a triple-double, Embiid is +3100.

• Embiid has recorded a triple-double in one of his 32 games (3.1%) this season.
• Embiid has recorded a triple-double in one of his last nine games.
• At home, he has recorded a triple-double in one of his 18 games (5.6%) this season.
• At home, he has recorded a triple-double in one of his last five games.
• There have been 6 triple-doubles recorded against Miami this season - ranking T26th in the league.