NBA Prop Bets: Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks (March 3, 2026)
The Dallas Mavericks (21-39) face the Charlotte Hornets (30-31) at Spectrum Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Hornets opened as 11.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 13.5, leaving the Hornets at -700 and Mavericks at +500. The total points line is set at 228.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 121-108 Charlotte.
- The Hornets (-110) have a 39-22-0 ATS record this season, while the Mavericks (-110) hold a record of 27-32-1.
- The Hornets have a 24-37-0 O/U record this season (meaning 24 games have gone over the total points line and 37 have gone under). The Mavericks have a 27-33-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Hornets are averaging 116.0 points per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Mavericks are averaging only 113.9 (23rd).
- Defensively, the Hornets are giving up 113.0 points per game this season (10th in the league), while the Mavericks are giving up an average of 117.7 points (22nd).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Hornets currently rank 25th for pace this season, recording 97.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Mavericks sit 4th on that scale with 101.7 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 47.3% of the Hornets' field goal attempts come from three point range (4th in the league), leaving 52.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' opponents are taking 38.1% of their attempts from three (10th) and 61.9% from two.
- Comparatively, Dallas takes only 35.0% of shots from three (28th), leaving 65.0% from two, while Charlotte's opponents are attempting a similarly low 40.3% from three (7th) and 59.7% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Hornets are shooting 37.8% from deep in 2025/26 (3rd in the NBA), compared to the Mavericks who are making an underwhelming 34.2% of their attempts (28th).
- On the opposite end, Charlotte is holding opponents to 36.3% of their three-point attempts (20th), while Dallas' opponents are hitting 34.0% of their shots (1st).
Ball Protection
- The Hornets are committing 15.9 turnovers per game this season, ranking 29th in the league, while the Mavericks are forcing 13.3 turnovers (25th).
- Flipping that script, Charlotte is forcing 12.7 turnovers (29th), while Dallas is committing 14.8 (18th).
Crashing the Boards
- Charlotte is pulling down 46.3 rebounds per game this season (5th in the league), including 12.8 offensive boards (7th). Conversely, Dallas' opponents are averaging a whopping 46.6 rebounds (27th), 12.2 of which have come on the offensive end (28th).
- Meanwhile, the Mavericks are averaging 44.7 rebounds (9th) and 10.1 offensive rebounds (25th), while the Hornets are allowing 39.2 and 10.2, ranking 1st and 2nd.
First Quarter Winner
Charlotte is -258 to win the first quarter, while Dallas is +210. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 28-28-5 | 14-12-3 | 14-16-2 | 11-6-1 | 17-22-4 | 6-3-1 |
| Dallas | 19-39-2 | 12-20-1 | 7-19-1 | 10-11-0 | 9-28-2 | 2-8-0 |
First Half Winner
Charlotte is -395 to win the first half and Dallas is +310. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 32-27-2 | 15-14-0 | 17-13-2 | 12-4-2 | 20-23-0 | 6-3-1 |
| Dallas | 20-39-1 | 11-21-1 | 9-18-0 | 10-11-0 | 10-28-1 | 2-8-0 |
HT/FT
Charlotte is -450 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Dallas is +750.
- The Hornets have completed the HT/FT double in 39.3% of games this season, while the Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 23.3% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Tuesday's matchup is +2800 to go to overtime.
- The Hornets have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Mavericks have appeared in four.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 27 of Charlotte's 61 games this season. Meanwhile, 33 of Dallas' 60 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Charlotte recorded a 123-121 victory over Dallas at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on January 29. Despite being on the losing side, Cooper Flagg came up big on that day, scoring 49 points and adding 10 rebounds.
NBA Injury News – Dallas Mavericks @ Charlotte Hornets (March 3, 2026)
The Mavericks listed Flagg as Doubtful for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Charlotte.
The Mavericks listed Marshall as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Charlotte.
The Mavericks listed Washington as Probable for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Charlotte.
The Mavericks listed Thompson as Doubtful for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Charlotte.
The Mavericks listed Bagley III as Out for Sunday's (Mar. 1) game against the Thunder.
The Mavericks listed Martin as Probable for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Charlotte.
The Mavericks said on Wednesday (Feb. 18) that Irving is OUT for the season, per ESPN's Shams Charania.
The Mavericks announced on Sunday (Dec. 21) that Lively II has successfully underwent foot surgery.
The Hornets listed White as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Dallas.
