NBA Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves (March 13, 2026)

The Minnesota Timberwolves (40-26) face the Golden State Warriors (32-33) at Chase Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Timberwolves opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 5.5, leaving the Timberwolves at -205 and Warriors at +170. The total points line is set at 222.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-108 Minnesota.

• The Warriors (-115) have a 29-36-0 ATS record this season, while the Timberwolves (-105) hold a record of 27-39-0.
• The Warriors have a 38-26-1 O/U record this season (meaning 38 games have gone over the total points line, 26 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Timberwolves have a 31-35-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Warriors are averaging 115.2 points per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Timberwolves are averaging +3.4 more at 118.6 points (6th).
• Defensively, the Warriors are giving up 114.2 points per game this season (12th in the league), while the Timberwolves are giving up an average of 115.1 points (T14th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Warriors currently rank 17th for pace this season, recording 99.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Timberwolves sit 10th on that scale with 100.6 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 50.7% of the Warriors' field goal attempts come from three point range (1st in the league), leaving 49.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents are taking 38.7% of their attempts from three (4th) and 61.3% from two.
• Comparatively, Minnesota takes 42.5% of shots from three (15th), leaving 57.5% from two, while Golden State's opponents are attempting 40.5% from three (8th) and 59.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors are shooting 35.9% from deep in 2025/26 (15th in the NBA), compared to the Timberwolves who are making 37.1% of their attempts (5th).
• On the opposite end, Golden State is holding opponents to 35.3% of their three-point attempts (11th), while Minnesota's opponents are hitting 36.1% of their shots (18th).

Ball Protection

• The Warriors are committing 15.4 turnovers per game this season, ranking 24th in the league, while the Timberwolves are forcing 14.9 turnovers (13th).
• Flipping that script, Golden State is forcing 15.9 turnovers (5th), while Minnesota is committing 14.7 (17th).

Crashing the Boards

• Golden State is pulling down 43.1 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (15th). Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 43.0 rebounds (10th), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (12th).
• Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are averaging 44.3 rebounds (11th) and 11.1 offensive rebounds (19th), while the Warriors are allowing 45.4 and 11.9, ranking 21st and 22nd.

First Quarter Winner

Golden State is +124 to win the first quarter, while Minnesota is -148. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	27-34-4	15-16-2	12-18-2	19-20-4	8-14-0	5-5-0
Minnesota	34-30-2	16-17-1	18-13-1	27-23-2	7-7-0	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Golden State is +145 to win the first half and Minnesota is -175. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Golden State	36-29-0	19-14-0	17-15-0	26-17-0	10-12-0	4-6-0
Minnesota	32-31-3	17-16-1	15-15-2	24-25-3	8-6-0	5-4-1

HT/FT

Golden State is +240 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Minnesota is -135.

• The Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 40.0% of games this season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 33.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

• The Warriors have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 34 of Golden State's 65 games this season. Meanwhile, 36 of Minnesota's 66 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Minnesota recorded a 108-83 blowout victory against Golden State at Target Center when these teams last met on January 26. Rudy Gobert was prominent on that day, recording 15 points, 17 rebounds and two blocks.