NBA Prop Bets: New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors (March 15, 2026)

The Golden State Warriors (32-34) face the New York Knicks (44-25) at Madison Square Garden. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Knicks opened as 13.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 14.5, leaving the Knicks at -1000 and Warriors at +650. The total points line is set at 219.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 117-102 New York.

• The Knicks (-108) have a 37-31-1 ATS record this season, while the Warriors (-112) hold a record of 29-37-0.
• The Knicks have a 33-35-1 O/U record this season (meaning 33 games have gone over the total points line, 35 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Warriors have a 39-26-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Knicks are averaging 117.0 points per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Warriors are averaging 115.2 (19th).
• Defensively, the Knicks are giving up only 110.7 points per game this season (5th in the league), while the Warriors are giving up an average of 114.4 points (12th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Knicks currently rank 24th for pace this season, recording 97.6 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Warriors sit 17th on that scale with 99.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 43.3% of the Knicks' field goal attempts come from three point range (10th in the league), leaving 56.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Warriors' opponents are taking 40.4% of their attempts from three (8th) and 59.6% from two.
• Comparatively, Golden State takes 50.7% of shots from three (1st), leaving 49.3% from two, while New York's opponents are attempting a similarly high 44.6% from three (23rd) and 55.4% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Knicks are shooting 37.3% from deep in 2025/26 (4th in the NBA), compared to the Warriors who are making 35.8% of their attempts (16th).
• On the opposite end, New York is holding opponents to 35.6% of their three-point attempts (14th), while Golden State's opponents are hitting 35.4% of their shots (11th).

Ball Protection

• The Knicks are committing 13.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 5th in the league, while the Warriors are forcing 15.9 turnovers (6th).
• Flipping that script, New York is forcing 14.3 turnovers (16th), while Golden State is committing 15.3 (24th).

Crashing the Boards

• New York is pulling down 46.2 rebounds per game this season (5th in the league), including 12.8 offensive boards (5th). Conversely, Golden State's opponents are averaging 45.3 rebounds (21st), 11.9 of which have come on the offensive end (22nd).
• Meanwhile, the Warriors are averaging 43.0 rebounds (22nd) and 11.5 offensive rebounds (14th), while the Knicks are allowing 41.3 and 10.0, ranking 5th and 1st.

First Quarter Winner

New York is -258 to win the first quarter, while Golden State is +210. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
New York	28-38-3	16-16-1	12-22-2	23-30-3	5-8-0	4-6-0
Golden State	27-35-4	15-17-2	12-18-2	19-20-4	8-15-0	5-5-0

First Half Winner

New York is -470 to win the first half and Golden State is +360. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
New York	37-32-0	20-13-0	17-19-0	31-25-0	6-7-0	5-5-0
Golden State	36-30-0	19-15-0	17-15-0	26-17-0	10-13-0	4-6-0

HT/FT

New York is -525 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Golden State is +850.

• The Knicks have completed the HT/FT double in 44.9% of games this season, while the Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 39.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +3000 to go to overtime.

• The Knicks have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Warriors have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 28 of New York's 68 games this season. Meanwhile, 35 of Golden State's 66 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Golden State recorded a 126-113 victory over New York at Chase Center when these teams last met on January 15. Jimmy Butler was prominent on that day, recording 32 points, eight rebounds, four assists and two steals. The Warriors have now won three straight against the Knicks.