NBA Prop Bets: Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic (March 16, 2026)
The Orlando Magic (38-28) face the Atlanta Hawks (36-31) at State Farm Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Hawks opened as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.5, leaving the Hawks at -155 and Magic at +130. The total points line is set at 232.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-114 Atlanta.
- The Hawks (-108) have a 35-32-0 ATS record this season, while the Magic (-112) hold a record of 30-36-0.
- The Hawks have a 32-35-0 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line and 35 have gone under). The Magic have a 35-31-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Hawks are averaging 117.7 points per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Magic are averaging 115.7 (14th).
- Defensively, the Hawks are giving up 116.6 points per game this season (20th in the league), while the Magic are giving up an average of 114.1 points (11th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Hawks currently rank 2nd for pace this season, recording 101.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Magic sit 15th on that scale with 99.5 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 42.6% of the Hawks' field goal attempts come from three point range (9th in the league), leaving 57.4% from two. Meanwhile, the Magic's opponents are taking 38.4% of their attempts from three (3rd) and 61.6% from two.
- Comparatively, Orlando takes 38.2% of shots from three (23rd), leaving 61.8% from two, while Atlanta's opponents are attempting 40.9% from three (17th) and 59.1% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Hawks are shooting 36.8% from deep in 2025/26 (6th in the NBA), compared to the Magic who are making an underwhelming 34.6% of their attempts (25th).
- On the opposite end, Atlanta is holding opponents to 35.6% of their three-point attempts (13th), while Orlando's opponents are hitting 34.8% of their shots (5th).
Ball Protection
- The Hawks are committing 14.2 turnovers per game this season, ranking 11th in the league, while the Magic are forcing 14.9 turnovers (12th).
- Flipping that script, Atlanta is forcing 16.0 turnovers (4th), while Orlando is committing 13.7 (7th).
Crashing the Boards
- Atlanta is pulling down 43.4 rebounds per game this season (18th in the league), including 10.7 offensive boards (22nd). Conversely, Orlando's opponents are averaging 43.6 rebounds (13th), 10.7 of which have come on the offensive end (5th).
- Meanwhile, the Magic are averaging 43.8 rebounds (14th) and 11.0 offensive rebounds (20th), while the Hawks are allowing 46.0 and 11.4, ranking 26th and 16th.
First Quarter Winner
Atlanta is -130 to win the first quarter, while Orlando is +110. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 34-29-4 | 17-13-4 | 17-16-0 | 19-10-3 | 15-19-1 | 7-3-0 |
| Orlando | 37-27-2 | 21-12-1 | 16-15-1 | 22-19-2 | 15-8-0 | 7-3-0 |
First Half Winner
Atlanta is -135 to win the first half and Orlando is +114. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 34-31-2 | 17-16-1 | 17-15-1 | 21-11-0 | 13-20-2 | 7-3-0 |
| Orlando | 32-30-4 | 13-18-3 | 19-12-1 | 19-21-3 | 13-9-1 | 7-2-1 |
HT/FT
Atlanta is +100 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Orlando is +180.
- The Hawks have completed the HT/FT double in 40.3% of games this season, while the Magic have completed the HT/FT double in 34.8% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Monday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.
- The Hawks have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Magic have appeared in five.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 36 of Atlanta's 67 games this season. Meanwhile, 30 of Orlando's 66 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Atlanta recorded a 127-112 victory over Orlando at State Farm Arena when these teams last met on November 4. Despite being on the losing side, Paolo Banchero was influential on that day, recording 22 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists.
