NBA Prop Bets: Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors (March 16, 2026)
The Golden State Warriors (32-35) face the Washington Wizards (16-50) at Capital One Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Warriors opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 7.5, leaving the Warriors at -310 and Wizards at +250. The total points line is set at 234.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 121-114 Golden State.
- The Wizards (-110) have a 28-38-0 ATS record this season, while the Warriors (-110) hold a record of 30-37-0.
- The Wizards have a 36-30-0 O/U record this season (meaning 36 games have gone over the total points line and 30 have gone under). The Warriors have a 39-27-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Wizards are averaging 112.7 points per game this season (25th in the league). Comparatively, the Warriors are averaging 115.1 (18th).
- Defensively, the Wizards are giving up a whopping 123.7 points per game this season (29th in the league), while the Warriors are giving up an average of 114.4 points (12th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Wizards currently rank 7th for pace this season, recording 101.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Warriors sit 18th on that scale with 99.2 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 40.3% of the Wizards' field goal attempts come from three point range (19th in the league), leaving 59.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Warriors' opponents are taking 40.4% of their attempts from three (9th) and 59.6% from two.
- Comparatively, Golden State takes 50.6% of shots from three (1st), leaving 49.4% from two, while Washington's opponents are attempting 40.9% from three (20th) and 59.1% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Wizards are shooting 35.5% from deep in 2025/26 (19th in the NBA), compared to the Warriors who are making 35.8% of their attempts (16th).
- On the opposite end, Washington is holding opponents to 36.5% of their three-point attempts (22nd), while Golden State's opponents are hitting 35.3% of their shots (11th).
Ball Protection
- The Wizards are committing 15.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 28th in the league. The Warriors may be well placed to take advantage of those numbers given they're forcing 15.9 turnovers per contest (6th).
- Flipping that script, Washington is forcing 13.7 turnovers (22nd), while Golden State is committing 15.4 (24th).
Crashing the Boards
- Washington is pulling down 42.9 rebounds per game this season (23rd in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (15th). Conversely, Golden State's opponents are averaging 45.3 rebounds (21st), 12.0 of which have come on the offensive end (22nd).
- Meanwhile, the Warriors are averaging 42.9 rebounds (22nd) and 11.5 offensive rebounds (14th), while the Wizards are allowing 48.0 and 13.4, ranking 30th and 30th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Wizards are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Washington holds a 1-10 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 4-7-0 ATS record and 5-6-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Golden State has a 5-6 W-L record, 5-6-0 ATS record and 5-6-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
First Quarter Winner
Washington is +136 to win the first quarter, while Golden State is -162. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 20-44-2 | 13-18-2 | 7-26-0 | 1-3-1 | 19-41-1 | 3-7-0 |
| Golden State | 28-35-4 | 15-17-2 | 13-18-2 | 19-20-4 | 9-15-0 | 5-5-0 |
First Half Winner
Washington is +170 to win the first half and Golden State is -205. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 19-47-0 | 12-21-0 | 7-26-0 | 2-3-0 | 17-44-0 | 1-9-0 |
| Golden State | 37-30-0 | 19-15-0 | 18-15-0 | 26-17-0 | 11-13-0 | 4-6-0 |
HT/FT
Washington is +320 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Golden State is -175.
- The Wizards have completed the HT/FT double in 19.7% of games this season, while the Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 38.8% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Monday's matchup is +1700 to go to overtime.
- The Wizards have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Warriors have appeared in four.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 37 of Washington's 66 games this season. Meanwhile, 35 of Golden State's 67 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Golden State recorded a 122-114 victory over Washington at Chase Center when these teams last met on January 18, 2025. The Warriors have now won six straight against the Wizards. Andrew Wiggins came up big on that day, scoring 31 points and adding 11 rebounds.
