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NBA Prop Bets: Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies (March 16, 2026)

The Memphis Grizzlies (23-44) face the Chicago Bulls (28-40) at United Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Bulls opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 7.5, leaving the Bulls at -278 and Grizzlies at +225. The total points line is set at 243.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 126-118 Chicago.

  • The Bulls (-105) have a 31-36-1 ATS record this season, while the Grizzlies (-115) hold a record of 31-35-1.
  • The Bulls have a 30-37-1 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total points line, 37 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Grizzlies have a 33-33-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Bulls are averaging 116.0 points per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Grizzlies are averaging 115.6 (15th).
  • Defensively, the Bulls are giving up a whopping 120.0 points per game this season (27th in the league), while the Grizzlies are giving up an average of 118.6 points (24th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

  • The Bulls currently rank 3rd for pace this season, recording 101.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Grizzlies sit 6th on that scale with 101.2 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

  • Looking at field goal splits, 44.7% of the Bulls' field goal attempts come from three point range (7th in the league), leaving 55.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies' opponents are taking 42.6% of their attempts from three (24th) and 57.4% from two.
  • Comparatively, Memphis takes 42.3% of shots from three (11th), leaving 57.7% from two, while Chicago's opponents are attempting 40.5% from three (21st) and 59.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

  • In terms of made three-pointers, the Bulls are shooting 36.3% from deep in 2025/26 (8th in the NBA), compared to the Grizzlies who are making 35.6% of their attempts (18th).
  • On the opposite end, Chicago is holding opponents to 36.8% of their three-point attempts (26th), while Memphis' opponents are hitting 36.1% of their shots (20th).

Ball Protection

  • The Bulls are committing 15.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 22nd in the league, while the Grizzlies are forcing 15.5 turnovers (11th).
  • Flipping that script, Chicago is forcing 12.6 turnovers (29th), while Memphis is committing 15.2 (23rd).

Crashing the Boards

  • Chicago is pulling down 45.1 rebounds per game this season (9th in the league), including 10.3 offensive boards (23rd). Conversely, Memphis' opponents are averaging 45.6 rebounds (23rd), 12.3 of which have come on the offensive end (28th).
  • Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are averaging 43.5 rebounds (18th) and 11.6 offensive rebounds (13th), while the Bulls are allowing 45.3 and 11.1, ranking 22nd and 10th.

Back-to-backs

  • Notably, the Bulls are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
  • Chicago holds a 3-8 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 4-7-0 ATS record and 3-8-0 O/U record.
  • Additionally, Memphis has a 4-7 W-L record, 7-4-0 ATS record and 7-4-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
  • Notably, the Grizzlies are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
  • Notably, the Bulls and Grizzlies are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.

First Quarter Winner

Chicago is -142 to win the first quarter, while Memphis is +120. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Last 10
    Chicago 24-39-5 16-18-1 8-21-4 12-13-1 12-26-4 3-5-2
    Memphis 27-36-4 13-18-1 14-18-3 10-8-2 17-28-2 3-5-2

First Half Winner

Chicago is -205 to win the first half and Memphis is +170. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Chicago 23-43-2 13-21-1 10-22-1 10-16-0 13-27-2 3-7-0
    Memphis 29-35-3 15-15-2 14-20-1 12-8-0 17-27-3 5-4-1

HT/FT

Chicago is -155 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Memphis is +295.

  • The Bulls have completed the HT/FT double in 22.1% of games this season, while the Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 20.9% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Monday's matchup is +1700 to go to overtime.

  • The Bulls have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Grizzlies have also appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

  • Both teams have scored 110+ points in 41 of Chicago's 68 games this season. Meanwhile, 39 of Memphis' 67 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Chicago recorded a 132-107 blowout victory against Memphis at United Center when these teams last met on March 16. Josh Giddey was everywhere on that day, finishing with a 16-point, 15-rebound, 13-assist triple-double.