NBA Prop Bets: Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns (March 16, 2026)
The Phoenix Suns (39-29) face the Boston Celtics (45-23) at TD Garden. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Celtics opened as 9.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 8.5, leaving the Celtics at -375 and Suns at +295. The total points line is set at 216.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-104 Boston.
- The Celtics (-115) have a 39-29-0 ATS record this season, while the Suns (-105) hold a record of 40-26-2.
- The Celtics have a 24-44-0 O/U record this season (meaning 24 games have gone over the total points line and 44 have gone under). The Suns have a 30-37-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Celtics are averaging 114.3 points per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Suns are averaging 112.5 (26th).
- Defensively, the Celtics are giving up only 107.1 points per game this season (1st in the league), while the Suns are giving up an average of 111.3 points (6th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Celtics currently rank 30th for pace this season, recording 94.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Suns sit 26th on that scale with 97.1 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 46.9% of the Celtics' field goal attempts come from three point range (3rd in the league), leaving 53.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Suns' opponents are taking 41.3% of their attempts from three (6th) and 58.7% from two.
- Comparatively, Phoenix takes 45.6% of shots from three (5th), leaving 54.4% from two, while Boston's opponents are attempting a similarly high 45.1% from three (26th) and 54.9% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Celtics are shooting 36.2% from deep in 2025/26 (11th in the NBA), compared to the Suns who are making 36.3% of their attempts (10th).
- On the opposite end, Boston is holding opponents to 35.9% of their three-point attempts (17th), while Phoenix's opponents are hitting 34.5% of their shots (2nd).
Ball Protection
- The Celtics are committing 12.2 turnovers per game this season, ranking 1st in the league, while the Suns are forcing 16.3 turnovers (3rd).
- Flipping that script, Boston is forcing 12.6 turnovers (28th), while Phoenix is committing 14.6 (17th).
Crashing the Boards
- Boston is pulling down 46.2 rebounds per game this season (4th in the league), including 12.7 offensive boards (7th). Conversely, Phoenix's opponents are averaging 43.9 rebounds (16th), 12.0 of which have come on the offensive end (T23rd).
- Meanwhile, the Suns are averaging 43.0 rebounds (21st) and 12.9 offensive rebounds (4th), while the Celtics are allowing 41.7 and 11.0, ranking 6th and 9th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Celtics are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Boston holds a 7-4 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 7-4-0 ATS record and 2-9-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Phoenix has an 8-2 W-L record, 6-3-1 ATS record and 6-4-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
- Notably, the Suns are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Notably, the Celtics and Suns are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
First Quarter Winner
Boston is -198 to win the first quarter, while Phoenix is +164. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | 41-23-4 | 19-13-1 | 22-10-3 | 28-17-3 | 13-6-1 | 6-4-0 |
| Phoenix | 31-33-4 | 16-18-1 | 15-15-3 | 17-15-1 | 14-18-3 | 3-6-1 |
First Half Winner
Boston is -258 to win the first half and Phoenix is +210. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | 46-18-4 | 22-9-2 | 24-9-2 | 35-11-2 | 11-7-2 | 8-1-1 |
| Phoenix | 35-31-2 | 17-16-2 | 18-15-0 | 20-12-1 | 15-19-1 | 5-4-1 |
HT/FT
Boston is -220 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Phoenix is +400.
- The Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 52.9% of games this season, while the Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 42.6% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Monday's matchup is +1800 to go to overtime.
- The Celtics have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Suns have appeared in two.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 23 of Boston's 68 games this season. Meanwhile, 27 of Phoenix's 68 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Boston recorded a 120-112 victory over Phoenix at TD Garden when these teams last met on March 16. The Celtics have now won six straight against the Suns. Jaylen Brown erupted for 41 points on that day.
