NBA Prop Bets: Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers (March 16, 2026)
The Los Angeles Lakers (43-25) face the Houston Rockets (41-26) at Toyota Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Rockets opened as 1.5-point favorites, but the Lakers have moved into favoritism at -118, with the spread currently set at 1.5. The Rockets are -102. The total points line is set at 223.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-111 LA Lakers.
- The Rockets (-118) have a 29-38-0 ATS record this season, while the Lakers (-102) hold a record of 37-29-2.
- The Rockets have a 28-39-0 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total points line and 39 have gone under). The Lakers have a 35-32-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Rockets are averaging 113.8 points per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Lakers are averaging +2.4 more at 116.3 points (11th).
- Defensively, the Rockets are giving up only 109.8 points per game this season (T3rd in the league), while the Lakers are giving up an average of 114.9 points (14th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Rockets currently rank 29th for pace this season, recording 95.8 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Lakers sit 20th on that scale with 98.4 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 34.4% of the Rockets' field goal attempts come from three point range (29th in the league), leaving 65.6% from two. Meanwhile, the Lakers' opponents are taking 41.5% of their attempts from three (12th) and 58.5% from two.
- Comparatively, the Lakers takes 40.2% of shots from three (23rd), leaving 59.8% from two, while Houston's opponents are attempting 40.1% from three (5th) and 59.9% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Rockets are shooting 36.2% from deep in 2025/26 (11th in the NBA), compared to the Lakers who are making 35.6% of their attempts (17th).
- On the opposite end, Houston is holding opponents to 35.1% of their three-point attempts (7th), while the Lakers' opponents are hitting 35.6% of their shots (14th).
Ball Protection
- The Rockets are committing 15.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 28th in the league, while the Lakers are forcing 14.8 turnovers (13th).
- Flipping that script, Houston is forcing 13.4 turnovers (23rd), while the Lakers are committing 14.5 (15th).
Crashing the Boards
- Houston is pulling down 48.2 rebounds per game this season (1st in the league), including 15.2 offensive boards (1st). Conversely, the Lakers' opponents are averaging 41.2 rebounds (5th), 10.8 of which have come on the offensive end (6th).
- Meanwhile, the Lakers are averaging only 40.9 rebounds (28th) and 9.6 offensive rebounds (27th), while the Rockets are allowing an impressive 39.6 and 11.6, ranking 1st and 19th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Rockets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Houston holds a 5-6 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-6-0 ATS record and 4-7-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, the Lakers have a 5-6 W-L record, 3-8-0 ATS record and 6-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
- Notably, the Lakers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Notably, the Rockets and the Lakers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
First Quarter Winner
Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 37-26-4 | 16-14-2 | 21-12-2 | 34-21-3 | 3-5-1 | 2-7-1 |
| LA Lakers | 31-33-4 | 15-17-3 | 16-16-1 | 24-14-4 | 7-19-0 | 6-3-1 |
First Half Winner
Houston is -112 to win the first half and the Lakers are -108. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 37-28-2 | 18-14-0 | 19-14-2 | 34-23-1 | 3-5-1 | 6-4-0 |
| LA Lakers | 30-34-4 | 18-16-1 | 12-18-3 | 22-19-1 | 8-15-3 | 7-2-1 |
HT/FT
Houston is +135 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, the Lakers are +130.
- The Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 40.3% of games this season, while the Lakers have completed the HT/FT double in 41.2% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Monday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.
- The Rockets have played in seven games that went to overtime this season, while the Lakers have appeared in one.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 21 of Houston's 67 games this season. Meanwhile, 33 of the Lakers' 68 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
The Lakers recorded a 100-92 victory over Houston at Toyota Center when these teams last met on March 16. That result snapped the Rockets' three-game winning streak against the Lakers at Toyota Center. Luka Doncic erupted for 36 points on that day.
