NBA Prop Bets: Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets (March 24, 2026)

The Denver Nuggets (44-28) face the Phoenix Suns (40-32) at Mortgage Matchup Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Nuggets opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 4.5, leaving the Nuggets at -218 and Suns at +180. The total points line is set at 234.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-115 Denver.

• The Suns (-105) have a 42-28-2 ATS record this season, while the Nuggets (-115) hold a record of 40-32-0.
• The Suns have a 30-41-1 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total points line, 41 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Nuggets have a 43-28-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Suns are averaging 112.2 points per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Nuggets are averaging +8.6 more at 120.8 points (1st).
• Defensively, the Suns are giving up only 111.0 points per game this season (6th in the league), while the Nuggets are giving up an average of 116.4 points (20th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Suns currently rank 26th for pace this season, recording 97.0 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Nuggets sit 22nd on that scale with 98.2 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 45.4% of the Suns' field goal attempts come from three point range (5th in the league), leaving 54.6% from two. Notably, the Nuggets' opponents are taking 42.4% of their attempts from three (23rd) and 57.6% from two.
• Comparatively, Denver takes 40.6% of shots from three (21st), leaving 59.4% from two, while Phoenix's opponents are attempting 41.3% from three (5th) and 58.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Suns are shooting 36.3% from deep in 2025/26 (9th in the NBA), compared to the Nuggets who are making 39.2% of their attempts (1st).
• On the opposite end, Phoenix is holding opponents to 34.5% of their three-point attempts (1st), while Denver's opponents are hitting 34.8% of their shots (5th).

Ball Protection

• The Suns are committing 14.6 turnovers per game this season, ranking 17th in the league, while the Nuggets are forcing 12.0 turnovers (30th).
• Flipping that script, Phoenix is forcing 16.3 turnovers (3rd), while Denver is committing 13.0 (3rd).

Crashing the Boards

• Phoenix is pulling down 43.0 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 12.9 offensive boards (5th). Conversely, Denver's opponents are averaging 42.8 rebounds (9th), 11.3 of which have come on the offensive end (14th).
• Meanwhile, the Nuggets are averaging 43.3 rebounds (19th) and 9.5 offensive rebounds (T27th), while the Suns are allowing 43.7 and 11.9, ranking 16th and 23rd.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Phoenix	35-33-4	18-18-1	17-15-3	18-15-1	17-18-3	6-3-1
Denver	44-26-2	24-10-0	20-16-2	32-17-1	12-9-1	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	37-33-2	18-17-2	19-16-0	20-13-1	17-20-1	6-4-0
Denver	40-28-4	24-10-0	16-18-4	31-17-2	9-11-2	5-4-1

HT/FT

• The Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 41.7% of games this season, while the Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 41.7% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Suns have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Nuggets have appeared in seven.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 27 of Phoenix's 72 games this season. Meanwhile, 45 of Denver's 72 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Denver recorded a 130-112 victory over Phoenix at Mortgage Matchup Center when these teams last met on November 29. Nikola Jokic facilitated the offense on that day, finishing with 26 points and 10 assists. The Nuggets have now won four straight against the Suns.