NBA Prop Bets: Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings (March 28, 2026)

The Sacramento Kings (19-55) face the Atlanta Hawks (41-33) at State Farm Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Hawks opened as 15.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 14.5, leaving the Hawks at -1000 and Kings at +650. The total points line is set at 236.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 126-111 Atlanta.

• The Hawks (-112) have a 40-34-0 ATS record this season, while the Kings (-108) hold a record of 30-43-1.
• The Hawks have a 37-37-0 O/U record this season (meaning 37 games have gone over the total points line and 37 have gone under). The Kings also have a 37-37-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Hawks are averaging 118.2 points per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Kings are averaging only 110.8 (28th).
• Defensively, the Hawks are giving up 116.5 points per game this season (17th in the league), while the Kings are giving up an average of 121.2 points (28th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Hawks currently rank 4th for pace this season, recording 101.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Kings sit 14th on that scale with 99.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 42.9% of the Hawks' field goal attempts come from three point range (8th in the league), leaving 57.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Kings' opponents are taking 40.8% of their attempts from three (T12th) and 59.2% from two.
• Comparatively, Sacramento takes 33.6% of shots from three (30th), leaving 66.4% from two, while Atlanta's opponents are attempting 40.9% from three (15th) and 59.1% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Hawks are shooting 36.8% from deep in 2025/26 (6th in the NBA), compared to the Kings who are making an underwhelming 34.0% of their attempts (29th).
• On the opposite end, Atlanta is holding opponents to 35.6% of their three-point attempts (15th), while Sacramento's opponents are hitting 37.6% of their shots (29th).

Ball Protection

• The Hawks are committing 14.2 turnovers per game this season, ranking 12th in the league, while the Kings are forcing 14.0 turnovers (20th).
• Flipping that script, Atlanta is forcing 16.1 turnovers (4th), while Sacramento is committing 14.2 (11th).

Crashing the Boards

• Atlanta is pulling down 43.4 rebounds per game this season (18th in the league), including 10.9 offensive boards (21st). Conversely, Sacramento's opponents are averaging 44.6 rebounds (18th), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (10th).
• Meanwhile, the Kings are averaging 42.0 rebounds (25th) and 11.2 offensive rebounds (17th), while the Hawks are allowing 45.6 and 11.3, ranking 25th and 14th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Kings are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Sacramento holds a 4-9 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 6-7-0 ATS record and 9-4-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Atlanta has a 6-6 W-L record, 6-6-0 ATS record and 7-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Atlanta is -270 to win the first quarter, while Sacramento is +220. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Atlanta	39-31-4	19-14-4	20-17-0	22-11-3	17-20-1	8-2-0
Sacramento	27-44-3	19-18-1	8-26-2	3-6-0	24-38-3	3-7-0

First Half Winner

Atlanta is -520 to win the first half and Sacramento is +390. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Atlanta	40-32-2	20-16-1	20-16-1	25-11-0	15-21-2	9-1-0
Sacramento	22-50-2	12-25-1	10-25-1	3-5-1	19-45-1	4-6-0

HT/FT

Atlanta is -600 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Sacramento is +1000.

• The Hawks have completed the HT/FT double in 43.2% of games this season, while the Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 16.2% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +3000 to go to overtime.

• The Hawks have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Kings have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 40 of Atlanta's 74 games this season. Meanwhile, 36 of Sacramento's 74 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Atlanta recorded a 133-100 blowout victory against Sacramento at Golden 1 Center when these teams last met on November 12. Jalen Johnson was influential on that day, recording 24 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists.