NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks (March 31, 2026)
The Dallas Mavericks (24-51) face the Milwaukee Bucks (29-45) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Mavericks are favored to win at -130, currently marked as 1.5-point favorites, while the Bucks are at +110. The total points line is set at 230.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-114 Dallas.
- The Bucks (-102) have a 32-42-0 ATS record this season, while the Mavericks (-118) hold a record of 33-41-1.
- The Bucks have a 33-41-0 O/U record this season (meaning 33 games have gone over the total points line and 41 have gone under). The Mavericks have a 33-42-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Bucks are averaging 110.4 points per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Mavericks are averaging 113.6 (24th).
- Defensively, the Bucks are giving up 116.9 points per game this season (21st in the league), while the Mavericks are giving up an average of 119.0 points (23rd).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Bucks currently rank 23rd for pace this season, recording 97.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Mavericks sit 5th on that scale with 101.6 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 44.9% of the Bucks' field goal attempts come from three point range (12th in the league), leaving 55.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' opponents are taking 39.0% of their attempts from three (16th) and 61.0% from two.
- Comparatively, Dallas takes 35.0% of shots from three (27th), leaving 65.0% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents are attempting 45.2% from three (28th) and 54.8% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks are shooting 38.6% from deep in 2025/26 (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Mavericks who are making an underwhelming 34.3% of their attempts (27th).
- On the opposite end, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 37.3% of their three-point attempts (28th), while Dallas' opponents are doing it tougher, hitting 34.8% of their shots (4th).
Ball Protection
- The Bucks are committing 15.0 turnovers per game this season, ranking 20th in the league, while the Mavericks are forcing 13.3 turnovers (24th).
- Flipping that script, Milwaukee is forcing 13.2 turnovers (25th), while Dallas is committing 14.8 (18th).
Crashing the Boards
- Milwaukee is pulling down 40.5 rebounds per game this season (29th in the league), including 8.7 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, Dallas' opponents are averaging 46.6 rebounds (27th), 12.0 of which have come on the offensive end (26th).
- Meanwhile, the Mavericks are averaging 44.6 rebounds (11th) and 10.3 offensive rebounds (23rd), while the Bucks are allowing 44.7 and 11.1, ranking 19th and 9th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Bucks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Milwaukee holds a 7-6 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as an 8-5-0 ATS record and 7-6-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Dallas has a 6-11 W-L record, 10-7-0 ATS record and 11-6-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
First Quarter Winner
Milwaukee is +105 to win the first quarter, while Dallas is -125. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | 27-43-4 | 13-22-2 | 14-21-2 | 12-13-1 | 15-30-3 | 0-10-0 |
| Dallas | 25-48-2 | 13-24-1 | 12-24-1 | 11-11-0 | 14-37-2 | 4-6-0 |
First Half Winner
Milwaukee is +110 to win the first half and Dallas is -130. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | 29-45-0 | 14-23-0 | 15-22-0 | 11-15-0 | 18-30-0 | 2-8-0 |
| Dallas | 26-48-1 | 13-24-1 | 13-24-0 | 11-11-0 | 15-37-1 | 5-5-0 |
HT/FT
Milwaukee is +155 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Dallas is +115.
- The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 24.3% of games this season, while the Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 22.7% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Tuesday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.
- The Bucks have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Mavericks have appeared in six.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 31 of Milwaukee's 74 games this season. Meanwhile, 42 of Dallas' 75 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Milwaukee recorded a 116-114 victory over Dallas at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on November 10. Giannis Antetokounmpo dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 30 points and three blocks. The Bucks have now won seven straight against the Mavericks.
NBA Injury News – Dallas Mavericks @ Milwaukee Bucks (March 31, 2026)
The Mavericks listed Marshall as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 31) game against the Bucks.
The Mavericks listed Washington as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 31) game against the Bucks.
The Mavericks listed Thompson as Doubtful for Tuesday's (Mar. 31) game against the Bucks.
The Mavericks listed Bagley III as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 31) game against the Bucks.
The Mavericks listed Martin as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 31) game against the Bucks.
The Mavericks said on Wednesday (Feb. 18) that Irving is OUT for the season, per ESPN's Shams Charania.
The Mavericks announced on Sunday (Dec. 21) that Lively II has successfully underwent foot surgery.
Antetokounmpo has been diagnosed with a left knee hyperextension and bone bruise and will be re-evaluated in one week.
The Bucks listed Porter Jr. as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 31) game against Dallas.
The Bucks listed Rollins as Probable for Tuesday's (Mar. 31) game against Dallas.
The Bucks listed Portis as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 31) game against Dallas.
The Bucks listed Kuzma as Probable for Tuesday's (Mar. 31) game against Dallas.
The Bucks listed Harris as Questionable for Tuesday's (Mar. 31) game against Dallas.
The Bucks listed Antetokounmpo as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 31) game against Dallas.
