NBA Prop Bets: Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs (April 4, 2026)

The San Antonio Spurs (59-19) face the Denver Nuggets (49-28) at Ball Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Spurs are favored to win at -135, currently marked as 2.5-point favorites, while the Nuggets are at +114. The total points line is set at 242.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-120 San Antonio.

• The Nuggets (-118) have a 41-36-0 ATS record this season, while the Spurs (-102) hold a record of 44-32-2.
• The Nuggets have a 46-30-1 O/U record this season (meaning 46 games have gone over the total points line, 30 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Spurs have a 33-45-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Nuggets are averaging 121.4 points per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Spurs are averaging 119.6 (3rd).
• Defensively, the Nuggets are giving up 116.6 points per game this season (20th in the league), while the Spurs are giving up an average of 111.1 points (6th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Nuggets currently rank 22nd for pace this season, recording 98.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Spurs sit 11th on that scale with 100.1 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 40.8% of the Nuggets' field goal attempts come from three point range (20th in the league), leaving 59.2% from two. Meanwhile, the Spurs' opponents are taking 40.7% of their attempts from three (17th) and 59.3% from two.
• Comparatively, San Antonio takes 42.4% of shots from three (13th), leaving 57.6% from two, while Denver's opponents are attempting 42.4% from three (23rd) and 57.6% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Nuggets are shooting 39.5% from deep in 2025/26 (1st in the NBA), compared to the Spurs who are making 36.0% of their attempts (14th).
• On the opposite end, Denver is holding opponents to 34.7% of their three-point attempts (3rd), while San Antonio's opponents are hitting 35.1% of their shots (6th).

Ball Protection

• The Nuggets are committing just 13.0 turnovers per game this season, ranking 3rd in the league. As such, the Spurs aren't likely to pressurise their opponents in this area given they're forcing only 13.1 turnovers per contest (25th).
• Flipping that script, Denver is forcing only 11.8 turnovers (30th), while San Antonio is committing just 13.6 (4th).

Crashing the Boards

• Denver is pulling down 43.6 rebounds per game this season (16th in the league), including 9.6 offensive boards (26th). Conversely, San Antonio's opponents are averaging 42.4 rebounds (8th), 10.2 of which have come on the offensive end (3rd).
• Meanwhile, the Spurs are averaging 47.0 rebounds (2nd) and 11.4 offensive rebounds (T13th), while the Nuggets are allowing 42.8 and 11.2, ranking 9th and 13th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Denver	47-28-2	26-11-0	21-17-2	35-19-1	12-9-1	5-5-0
San Antonio	54-23-1	26-10-0	28-13-1	42-16-1	12-7-0	8-2-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Denver	43-29-5	25-11-1	18-18-4	34-18-3	9-11-2	6-2-2
San Antonio	55-22-1	26-9-1	29-13-0	41-17-1	14-5-0	9-1-0

HT/FT

Denver is +150 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, San Antonio is +115.

• The Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 42.9% of games this season, while the Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 57.7% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

• The Nuggets have played in seven games that went to overtime this season, while the Spurs have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 49 of Denver's 77 games this season. Meanwhile, 38 of San Antonio's 77 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Denver recorded a 136-131 victory over San Antonio at Frost Bank Center when these teams last met on March 12. Nikola Jokic was everywhere on that day, finishing with a 31-point, 20-rebound, 12-assist triple-double.