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NBA Prop Bets: Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies (April 8, 2026)

The Memphis Grizzlies (25-54) face the Denver Nuggets (51-28) at Ball Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Nuggets opened as 21.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 23.5, leaving the Nuggets at -5000 and Grizzlies at +1800. The total points line is set at 247.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 136-112 Denver.

  • The Nuggets (-110) have a 42-37-0 ATS record this season, while the Grizzlies (-110) hold a record of 36-42-1.
  • The Nuggets have a 48-30-1 O/U record this season (meaning 48 games have gone over the total points line, 30 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Grizzlies have a 40-38-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Nuggets are averaging 121.8 points per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Grizzlies are averaging only 115.0 (18th).
  • Defensively, the Nuggets are giving up 117.0 points per game this season (21st in the league), while the Grizzlies are giving up an average of 120.0 points (25th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

  • The Nuggets currently rank 22nd for pace this season, recording 98.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Grizzlies sit 7th on that scale with 101.1 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

  • Looking at field goal splits, 40.9% of the Nuggets' field goal attempts come from three point range (20th in the league), leaving 59.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies' opponents are taking 42.5% of their attempts from three (23rd) and 57.5% from two.
  • Comparatively, Memphis takes 43.3% of shots from three (9th), leaving 56.7% from two, while Denver's opponents are attempting 42.7% from three (24th) and 57.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

  • In terms of made three-pointers, the Nuggets are shooting 39.5% from deep in 2025/26 (1st in the NBA), compared to the Grizzlies who are making 35.6% of their attempts (19th).
  • On the opposite end, Denver is holding opponents to 34.9% of their three-point attempts (4th), while Memphis' opponents are hitting 36.4% of their shots (21st).

Ball Protection

  • The Nuggets are committing 12.9 turnovers per game this season, ranking 3rd in the league, while the Grizzlies are forcing 15.6 turnovers (7th).
  • Flipping that script, Denver is forcing 11.9 turnovers (30th), while Memphis is committing 15.2 (22nd).

Crashing the Boards

  • Denver is pulling down 43.6 rebounds per game this season (15th in the league), including 9.7 offensive boards (26th). Conversely, Memphis' opponents are averaging 46.3 rebounds (26th), 12.7 of which have come on the offensive end (28th).
  • Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are averaging 42.2 rebounds (23rd) and 11.3 offensive rebounds (16th), while the Nuggets are allowing 42.8 and 11.2, ranking 9th and 13th.

First Quarter Winner

Denver is -500 to win the first quarter, while Memphis is +380. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Denver 47-30-2 26-13-0 21-17-2 35-20-1 12-10-1 4-6-0
    Memphis 29-46-4 15-25-1 14-21-3 10-8-2 19-38-2 1-9-0

First Half Winner

Denver is -1600 to win the first half and Memphis is +900. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Denver 43-31-5 25-13-1 18-18-4 34-19-3 9-12-2 5-3-2
    Memphis 29-46-4 15-23-3 14-23-1 12-8-0 17-38-4 0-10-0

HT/FT

  • The Nuggets have completed the HT/FT double in 41.8% of games this season, while the Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 17.7% of games.

To Go To Overtime

  • The Nuggets have played in nine games that went to overtime this season, while the Grizzlies have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

  • Both teams have scored 110+ points in 51 of Denver's 79 games this season. Meanwhile, 45 of Memphis' 79 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Memphis recorded a shock 125-118 victory over Denver at FedExForum when these teams last met on March 18. That result snapped the Nuggets' four-game winning streak against the Grizzlies. Despite being on the losing side, Nikola Jokic came up big on that day, scoring 29 points and adding 14 rebounds.