NBA Prop Bets: Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat (April 9, 2026)
The Miami Heat (41-38) face the Toronto Raptors (44-35) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Raptors opened as 4.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.5, leaving the Raptors at -166 and Heat at +140. The total points line is set at 236.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-116 Toronto.
- The Raptors (-115) have a 41-38-0 ATS record this season, while the Heat (-105) hold a record of 43-35-1.
- The Raptors have a 30-48-1 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total points line, 48 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Heat have a 43-35-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Raptors are averaging 114.4 points per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Heat are averaging +6.0 more at 120.4 points (2nd).
- Defensively, the Raptors are giving up 111.9 points per game this season (9th in the league), while the Heat are giving up an average of 118.5 points (22nd).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Raptors currently rank 20th for pace this season, recording 98.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Heat sit 1st on that scale with 103.6 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 36.4% of the Raptors' field goal attempts come from three point range (25th in the league), leaving 63.6% from two. Meanwhile, the Heat's opponents are taking 42.0% of their attempts from three (26th) and 58.0% from two.
- Comparatively, Miami takes 40.6% of shots from three (13th), leaving 59.4% from two, while Toronto's opponents are attempting 41.8% from three (10th) and 58.2% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Raptors are shooting 35.2% from deep in 2025/26 (22nd in the NBA), compared to the Heat who are making 35.8% of their attempts (15th).
- On the opposite end, Toronto is holding opponents to 35.1% of their three-point attempts (6th), while Miami's opponents are hitting 35.7% of their shots (12th).
Ball Protection
- The Raptors are committing 13.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 7th in the league, while the Heat are forcing 15.1 turnovers (10th).
- Flipping that script, Toronto is forcing 16.1 turnovers (4th), while Miami is committing 13.7 (T5th).
Crashing the Boards
- Toronto is pulling down 42.2 rebounds per game this season (22nd in the league), including 11.1 offensive boards (18th). Conversely, Miami's opponents are averaging 46.7 rebounds (28th), 11.6 of which have come on the offensive end (20th).
- Meanwhile, the Heat are averaging 46.5 rebounds (3rd) and 11.9 offensive rebounds (10th), while the Raptors are allowing 43.1 and 11.1, ranking 11th and 8th.
First Quarter Winner
Toronto is -135 to win the first quarter, while Miami is +114. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | 43-32-4 | 23-16-0 | 20-16-4 | 30-16-1 | 13-16-3 | 5-4-1 |
| Miami | 49-29-1 | 25-15-0 | 24-14-1 | 29-10-0 | 20-19-1 | 5-5-0 |
First Half Winner
Toronto is -142 to win the first half and Miami is +120. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | 42-37-0 | 23-16-0 | 19-21-0 | 30-17-0 | 12-20-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Miami | 44-33-2 | 26-13-1 | 18-20-1 | 28-11-0 | 16-22-2 | 3-7-0 |
HT/FT
Toronto is -105 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Miami is +185.
- The Raptors have completed the HT/FT double in 41.8% of games this season, while the Heat have completed the HT/FT double in 43.0% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Thursday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.
- The Raptors have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Heat have appeared in one.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 29 of Toronto's 79 games this season. Meanwhile, 51 of Miami's 79 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Toronto recorded a 121-95 blowout victory against Miami at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on April 7. Scottie Barnes was influential on that day, recording 25 points, eight rebounds and five assists. The Raptors have now won three straight against the Heat.
NBA Injury News – Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors (April 9, 2026)
The Heat said on Tuesday (Apr. 7) that Jovic is OUT for at least 3 games.
The Heat listed Smith as Questionable for Thursday's (Apr. 9) game against the Raptors.
The Raptors have listed Jackson-Davis as OUT for Thursday's (Apr. 9) game against the Heat.
The Raptors listed Hepburn as Out for Thursday's (Apr. 9) game against the Heat.
