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NBA Prop Bets: Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder (April 25, 2026)

The Oklahoma City Thunder (66-18) face the Phoenix Suns (46-40) at Mortgage Matchup Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Thunder are favored to win at -395, currently marked as 9.5-point favorites, while the Suns are at +310. The total points line is set at 214.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-102 Oklahoma City.

  • The Suns (-110) have a 48-36-2 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Thunder (-110) hold a record of 40-44-0.
  • The Suns have a 39-46-1 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 39 games have gone over the total points line, 46 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Thunder have a 45-39-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Suns are averaging 112.6 points per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Thunder are averaging +6.4 more at 119.0 points (5th).
  • Defensively, the Suns are giving up only 111.1 points per game this season (6th in the league), while the Thunder are giving up an average of 107.9 points (2nd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

  • The Suns currently rank 24th for pace this season, recording 97.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Thunder sit 16th on that scale with 99.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

  • Looking at field goal splits, 45.3% of the Suns' field goal attempts come from three point range (5th in the league), leaving 54.7% from two. Notably, the Thunder's opponents are taking 44.0% of their attempts from three (24th) and 56.0% from two.
  • Comparatively, Oklahoma City takes 42.6% of shots from three (13th), leaving 57.4% from two, while Phoenix's opponents are attempting 41.0% from three (6th) and 59.0% from two.

Beyond the Arc

  • In terms of made three-pointers, the Suns are shooting 36.1% from deep in 2025/26 (12th in the NBA), compared to the Thunder who are making 36.5% of their attempts (9th).
  • On the opposite end, Phoenix is holding opponents to 34.7% of their three-point attempts (2nd), while Oklahoma City's opponents are doing things easier, hitting 36.9% of their shots (25th).

Ball Protection

  • The Suns are committing 14.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking T15th in the league, while the Thunder are forcing 16.7 turnovers (2nd).
  • Flipping that script, Phoenix is forcing 16.3 turnovers (3rd), while Oklahoma City is committing 12.6 (2nd).

Crashing the Boards

  • Phoenix is pulling down 43.1 rebounds per game this season (20th in the league), including 13.0 offensive boards (4th). Conversely, Oklahoma City's opponents are averaging 45.2 rebounds (20th), 11.9 of which have come on the offensive end (24th).
  • Meanwhile, the Thunder are averaging 44.1 rebounds (12th) and 9.6 offensive rebounds (T27th), while the Suns are allowing 43.7 and 11.8, ranking 15th and 22nd.

First Quarter Winner

Phoenix is +130 to win the first quarter, while Oklahoma City is -155. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Last 10
    Phoenix 44-37-5 24-18-1 20-19-4 23-16-2 21-21-3 6-3-1
    Oklahoma City 53-25-6 26-14-4 27-11-2 51-22-6 2-3-0 8-2-0

First Half Winner

Phoenix is +180 to win the first half and Oklahoma City is -218. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Phoenix 44-40-2 22-19-2 22-21-0 25-15-1 19-25-1 5-5-0
    Oklahoma City 61-23-0 30-14-0 31-9-0 59-20-0 2-3-0 8-2-0

HT/FT

Phoenix is +400 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Oklahoma City is -200.

  • The Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 41.9% of games this season, while the Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 63.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +2000 to go to overtime.

  • The Suns have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Thunder have appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

  • Both teams have scored 110+ points in 30 of Phoenix's 82 games this season. Meanwhile, 27 of Oklahoma City's 82 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

The Thunder recorded a 120-107 victory over the Suns at Paycom Center on Wednesday. The Thunder now hold a 2-0 series lead. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander erupted for 37 points on that day.

NBA Injury News – Oklahoma City Thunder @ Phoenix Suns (April 25, 2026)

Oklahoma City Thunder - Injury Report
Jalen Williams (Hamstring) – Out

The Thunder said on Thursday (Apr. 23) that Williams is considered week-to-week with a Grade 1 left hamstring strain, per Shams Charania of ESPN.

Thomas Sorber (Knee) – Out For Season

The Thunder announced on Friday (Sept. 5) that Sorber will miss the 2025-2026 season with a torn ACL.

Phoenix Suns - Injury Report
Grayson Allen (Hamstring) – Day To Day

The Suns listed Allen as Questionable for Saturday's (Apr. 25) game 3 against the Thunder.

Mark Williams (Foot) – Out

The Suns listed Williams as OUT for Saturday's (Apr. 25) Game 3 against the Thunder.

Jordan Goodwin (Calf) – Day To Day

The Suns listed Goodwin as Questionable for Saturday's (Apr. 25) game 3 against the Thunder.