NBA Prop Bets: San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves (May 4, 2026)

The Minnesota Timberwolves face the San Antonio Spurs in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semi-finals at Frost Bank Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Spurs opened as 14.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 13.5, leaving the Spurs at -625 and Timberwolves at +455. The total points line is set at 217.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-102 San Antonio.

• The Spurs (-105) have a 51-35-2 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Timberwolves (-115) hold a record of 41-46-1.
• The Spurs have a 37-51-0 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 37 games have gone over the total points line and 51 have gone under). The Timberwolves have a 40-48-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• San Antonio has averaged 112.4 points throughout this season's playoffs, while giving up 100.0. Comparatively, Minnesota has scored 112.0 per game and allowed 107.5. Looking at their best and worst postseason offensive performances, the Spurs' playoff-high is 120 while their playoff-low is 103. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' high is 119 and low is 105.

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing during the postseason?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits during the playoffs, 36.5% of the Spurs' field goal attempts have come from three point range, leaving 63.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents have taken 38.6% of their attempts from three and 61.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Minnesota has taken 34.5% of shots from three, leaving 65.5% from two, while San Antonio's opponents have attempted 43.2% from three and 56.8% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Spurs have shot 41.8% from deep throughout the postseason, compared to the Timberwolves who are making 33.7% of their attempts.
• On the opposite end, San Antonio has held opponents to 30.2% of their three-point attempts, while Minnesota's opponents have hit 31.1% of their shots.

Ball Protection

• The Spurs are committing 15.2 turnovers per game in these playoffs, while the Timberwolves have forced 12.0 turnovers across the postseason.
• Flipping that script, San Antonio is forcing 12.8 turnovers, while Minnesota is committing 13.5.

Crashing the Boards

• San Antonio is pulling down 44.4 rebounds per game during the playoffs, including 10.6 offensive boards. Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 38.3 rebounds, 7.0 of which have come on the offensive end.
• Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have averaged 47.2 rebounds and 12.0 offensive rebounds, while the Spurs are allowing 40.6 and 12.0.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
San Antonio	3-2-0	3-0-0	0-2-0	3-2-0	0-0-0
Minnesota	2-4-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	1-0-0	1-4-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
San Antonio	2-2-1	2-0-1	0-2-0	2-2-1	0-0-0
Minnesota	2-2-2	2-1-0	0-1-2	1-0-0	1-2-2

HT/FT

San Antonio is -600 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Minnesota is +800.

• The Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 56.8% of games since the beginning of the regular season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 36.4% of games. During the playoffs, San Antonio has completed the HT/FT double in two of five games, while Minnesota has completed the HT/FT double in two of six contests.

To Go To Overtime

Monday's matchup is +2500 to go to overtime.

• The Spurs have played in two games that went to overtime since the beginning of the regular season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in four. Both San Antonio and Timberwolves are yet to play in game that went to overtime during this season's playoffs.

Last Time They Met

San Antonio recorded a 126-123 victory over Minnesota at Frost Bank Center when these teams last met on January 17. Despite being on the losing side, Anthony Edwards was lights out from deep on that day, finishing with 55 points and nine triples. That result snapped the Timberwolves' five-game winning streak against the Spurs.