NBA Prop Bets: San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves (May 6, 2026)

The Minnesota Timberwolves face the San Antonio Spurs in Game 2 of the Western Conference Semi-finals at Frost Bank Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Spurs are favored to win at -425, currently marked as 9.5-point favorites, while the Timberwolves are at +330. The total points line is set at 215.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-103 San Antonio.

• The Spurs (-115) have a 51-36-2 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Timberwolves (-105) hold a record of 42-46-1.
• The Spurs have a 37-52-0 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 37 games have gone over the total points line and 52 have gone under). The Timberwolves have a 40-49-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• San Antonio has averaged 110.7 points throughout this season's playoffs, while giving up 100.7. Comparatively, Minnesota has scored 110.9 per game and allowed 106.7. Looking at their best and worst postseason offensive performances, the Spurs' playoff-high is 120 while their playoff-low is 102. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' high is 119 and low is 104.

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing during the postseason?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits during the playoffs, 37.4% of the Spurs' field goal attempts have come from three point range, leaving 62.6% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents have taken 39.0% of their attempts from three and 61.0% from two.
• Comparatively, Minnesota has taken 33.7% of shots from three, leaving 66.3% from two, while San Antonio's opponents have attempted 40.8% from three and 59.2% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Spurs have shot 39.2% from deep throughout the postseason, compared to the Timberwolves who are making 34.3% of their attempts.
• On the opposite end, San Antonio has held opponents to 31.2% of their three-point attempts, while Minnesota's opponents have hit 30.6% of their shots.

Ball Protection

• The Spurs are committing 15.0 turnovers per game in these playoffs, while the Timberwolves have forced 12.3 turnovers across the postseason.
• Flipping that script, San Antonio is forcing 12.8 turnovers, while Minnesota is committing 13.4.

Crashing the Boards

• San Antonio is pulling down 44.8 rebounds per game during the playoffs, including 11.0 offensive boards. Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 39.6 rebounds, 7.9 of which have come on the offensive end.
• Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have averaged 47.0 rebounds and 12.0 offensive rebounds, while the Spurs are allowing 41.5 and 12.0.

First Quarter Winner

San Antonio is -225 to win the first quarter, while Minnesota is +185. Here are their first quarter records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
San Antonio	3-3-0	3-1-0	0-2-0	3-3-0	0-0-0
Minnesota	3-4-0	1-2-0	2-2-0	1-0-0	2-4-0

First Half Winner

San Antonio is -270 to win the first half and Minnesota is +220. Here are their first half records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
San Antonio	2-2-2	2-0-2	0-2-0	2-2-2	0-0-0
Minnesota	2-2-3	2-1-0	0-1-3	1-0-0	1-2-3

HT/FT

San Antonio is -230 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Minnesota is +425.

• The Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 56.2% of games since the beginning of the regular season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 36.0% of games. During the playoffs, San Antonio has completed the HT/FT double in two of six games, while Minnesota has completed the HT/FT double in two of seven contests.

To Go To Overtime

Wednesday's matchup is +2000 to go to overtime.

• The Spurs have played in two games that went to overtime since the beginning of the regular season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in four. Both San Antonio and Timberwolves are yet to play in game that went to overtime during this season's playoffs.

Last Time They Met

The Timberwolves recorded an upset 104-102 victory over the Spurs at Frost Bank Center on Monday. The Timberwolves now hold a 1-0 series lead. Despite being on the losing side, Victor Wembanyama was everywhere on that day, finishing with an 11-point, [z]-assist, 12-block triple-double.