NBA Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs (May 8, 2026)

The San Antonio Spurs face the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of the Western Conference Semi-finals at Target Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Spurs opened as 3.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 4.5, leaving the Spurs at -198 and Timberwolves at +164. The total points line is set at 215.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 110-106 San Antonio.

• The Timberwolves (-115) have a 42-47-1 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Spurs (-105) hold a record of 52-36-2.
• The Timberwolves have a 41-49-0 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 41 games have gone over the total points line and 49 have gone under). The Spurs have a 38-52-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• Minnesota has averaged 108.9 points throughout this season's playoffs, while giving up 110.0. Comparatively, San Antonio has scored 113.9 per game and allowed 99.9. Looking at their best and worst postseason offensive performances, the Timberwolves' playoff-high is 119 while their playoff-low is 95. Meanwhile, the Spurs' high is 133 and low is 102.

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing during the postseason?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits during the playoffs, 33.7% of the Timberwolves' field goal attempts have come from three point range, leaving 66.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Spurs' opponents have taken 39.9% of their attempts from three and 60.1% from two.
• Comparatively, San Antonio has taken 38.3% of shots from three, leaving 61.7% from two, while Minnesota's opponents have attempted 39.6% from three and 60.4% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Timberwolves have shot 33.8% from deep throughout the postseason, compared to the Spurs who are making 39.5% of their attempts.
• On the opposite end, Minnesota has held opponents to 32.1% of their three-point attempts, while San Antonio's opponents have hit 31.0% of their shots.

Ball Protection

• The Timberwolves are committing 14.5 turnovers per game in these playoffs, while the Spurs have forced 14.1 turnovers across the postseason.
• Flipping that script, Minnesota is forcing 12.8 turnovers, while San Antonio is committing 15.1.

Crashing the Boards

• Minnesota is pulling down 46.5 rebounds per game during the playoffs, including 12.0 offensive boards. Conversely, San Antonio's opponents are averaging 41.7 rebounds, 12.0 of which have come on the offensive end.
• Meanwhile, the Spurs have averaged 46.3 rebounds and 11.3 offensive rebounds, while the Timberwolves are allowing 41.5 and 8.5.

First Quarter Winner

Minnesota is +110 to win the first quarter, while San Antonio is -130. Here are their first quarter records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Minnesota	3-5-0	1-2-0	2-3-0	1-0-0	2-5-0
San Antonio	4-3-0	4-1-0	0-2-0	4-3-0	0-0-0

First Half Winner

Minnesota is +120 to win the first half and San Antonio is -142. Here are their first half records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Minnesota	2-3-3	2-1-0	0-2-3	1-0-0	1-3-3
San Antonio	3-2-2	3-0-2	0-2-0	3-2-2	0-0-0

HT/FT

Minnesota is +190 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, San Antonio is -105.

• The Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 35.6% of games since the beginning of the regular season, while the Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 56.7% of games. During the playoffs, Minnesota has completed the HT/FT double in two of eight games, while San Antonio has completed the HT/FT double in three of seven contests.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +1700 to go to overtime.

• The Timberwolves have played in four games that went to overtime since the beginning of the regular season, while the Spurs have appeared in two. Both Minnesota and Spurs are yet to play in game that went to overtime during this season's playoffs.

Last Time They Met

The Spurs recorded a lopsided 133-95 victory against the Timberwolves at Frost Bank Center on Wednesday. The series is now tied at 1-1. Victor Wembanyama was prominent on that day, recording 19 points, 15 rebounds and two blocks.