NBA Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs (May 10, 2026)

The San Antonio Spurs face the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semi-finals at Target Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Spurs are favored to win at -185, currently marked as 4.5-point favorites, while the Timberwolves are at +154. The total points line is set at 218.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-107 San Antonio.

• The Timberwolves (-105) have a 42-48-1 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Spurs (-115) hold a record of 53-36-2.
• The Timberwolves have a 42-49-0 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 42 games have gone over the total points line and 49 have gone under). The Spurs have a 39-52-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• Minnesota has averaged 108.8 points throughout this season's playoffs, while giving up 110.6. Comparatively, San Antonio has scored 114.0 per game and allowed 100.9. Looking at their best and worst postseason offensive performances, the Timberwolves' playoff-high is 119 while their playoff-low is 95. Meanwhile, the Spurs' high is 133 and low is 102.

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing during the postseason?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits during the playoffs, 34.5% of the Timberwolves' field goal attempts have come from three point range, leaving 65.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Spurs' opponents have taken 39.9% of their attempts from three and 60.1% from two.
• Comparatively, San Antonio has taken 38.3% of shots from three, leaving 61.7% from two, while Minnesota's opponents have attempted 39.5% from three and 60.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Timberwolves have shot 33.9% from deep throughout the postseason, compared to the Spurs who are making 39.1% of their attempts.
• On the opposite end, Minnesota has held opponents to 32.6% of their three-point attempts, while San Antonio's opponents have hit 31.6% of their shots.

Ball Protection

• The Timberwolves are committing 14.2 turnovers per game in these playoffs, while the Spurs have forced 13.9 turnovers across the postseason.
• Flipping that script, Minnesota is forcing 12.4 turnovers, while San Antonio is committing 14.5.

Crashing the Boards

• Minnesota is pulling down 47.3 rebounds per game during the playoffs, including 12.3 offensive boards. Conversely, San Antonio's opponents are averaging 43.3 rebounds, 12.4 of which have come on the offensive end.
• Meanwhile, the Spurs have averaged 46.5 rebounds and 10.9 offensive rebounds, while the Timberwolves are allowing 42.2 and 8.4.

First Quarter Winner

Minnesota is +124 to win the first quarter, while San Antonio is -148. Here are their first quarter records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Minnesota	3-6-0	1-3-0	2-3-0	1-0-0	2-6-0
San Antonio	5-3-0	4-1-0	1-2-0	5-3-0	0-0-0

First Half Winner

Minnesota is +136 to win the first half and San Antonio is -162. Here are their first half records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Minnesota	2-3-4	2-1-1	0-2-3	1-0-0	1-3-4
San Antonio	3-2-3	3-0-2	0-2-1	3-2-3	0-0-0

HT/FT

Minnesota is +210 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, San Antonio is -115.

• The Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 35.2% of games since the beginning of the regular season, while the Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 56.0% of games. During the playoffs, Minnesota has completed the HT/FT double in two of nine games, while San Antonio has completed the HT/FT double in three of eight contests.

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +1700 to go to overtime.

• The Timberwolves have played in four games that went to overtime since the beginning of the regular season, while the Spurs have appeared in two. Both Minnesota and Spurs are yet to play in game that went to overtime during this season's playoffs.

Last Time They Met

The Spurs recorded a 115-108 victory over the Timberwolves at Target Center on Friday. The Spurs now hold a 2-1 series lead. Victor Wembanyama came up big on that day, scoring 39 points and adding 15 rebounds. That result snapped the Timberwolves' seven-game winning streak against the Spurs at Target Center.