NBA Prop Bets: San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves (May 12, 2026)

The Minnesota Timberwolves face the San Antonio Spurs in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semi-finals at Frost Bank Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Spurs opened as 9.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 10.5, leaving the Spurs at -410 and Timberwolves at +320. The total points line is set at 218.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-104 San Antonio.

• The Spurs (-105) have a 53-37-2 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Timberwolves (-115) hold a record of 43-48-1.
• The Spurs have a 40-52-0 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 40 games have gone over the total points line and 52 have gone under). The Timberwolves have a 43-49-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• San Antonio has averaged 113.4 points throughout this season's playoffs, while giving up 102.3. Comparatively, Minnesota has scored 109.3 per game and allowed 110.4. Looking at their best and worst postseason offensive performances, the Spurs' playoff-high is 133 while their playoff-low is 102. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' high is 119 and low is 95.

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing during the postseason?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits during the playoffs, 37.4% of the Spurs' field goal attempts have come from three point range, leaving 62.6% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents have taken 38.6% of their attempts from three and 61.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Minnesota has taken 33.9% of shots from three, leaving 66.1% from two, while San Antonio's opponents have attempted 38.7% from three and 61.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Spurs have shot 37.6% from deep throughout the postseason, compared to the Timberwolves who are making 34.2% of their attempts.
• On the opposite end, San Antonio has held opponents to 32.1% of their three-point attempts, while Minnesota's opponents have hit 31.8% of their shots.

Ball Protection

• The Spurs are committing 14.4 turnovers per game in these playoffs, while the Timberwolves have forced 12.6 turnovers across the postseason.
• Flipping that script, San Antonio is forcing 14.2 turnovers, while Minnesota is committing 14.5.

Crashing the Boards

• San Antonio is pulling down 45.9 rebounds per game during the playoffs, including 11.1 offensive boards. Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 42.1 rebounds, 8.9 of which have come on the offensive end.
• Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have averaged 47.5 rebounds and 12.6 offensive rebounds, while the Spurs are allowing 43.9 and 12.7.

First Quarter Winner

San Antonio is -250 to win the first quarter, while Minnesota is +205. Here are their first quarter records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
San Antonio	5-4-0	4-1-0	1-3-0	5-4-0	0-0-0
Minnesota	4-6-0	2-3-0	2-3-0	1-0-0	3-6-0

First Half Winner

San Antonio is -310 to win the first half and Minnesota is +250. Here are their first half records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
San Antonio	3-3-3	3-0-2	0-3-1	3-3-3	0-0-0
Minnesota	3-3-4	3-1-1	0-2-3	1-0-0	2-3-4

HT/FT

San Antonio is -280 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Minnesota is +475.

• The Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 55.4% of games since the beginning of the regular season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 35.9% of games. During the playoffs, San Antonio has completed the HT/FT double in three of nine games, while Minnesota has completed the HT/FT double in three of 10 contests.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +2200 to go to overtime.

• The Spurs have played in two games that went to overtime since the beginning of the regular season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in four. Both San Antonio and Timberwolves are yet to play in game that went to overtime during this season's playoffs.

Last Time They Met

The Timberwolves recorded a 114-109 victory over the Spurs at Target Center on Sunday. The series is now tied at 2-2. Anthony Edwards erupted for 36 points on that day.