NBA Prop Bets: San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves (October 31, 2026)

The Minnesota Timberwolves (4-2) face the San Antonio Spurs (3-2) at Frost Bank Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Spurs opened as 11.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 12.5, leaving the Spurs at -600 and Timberwolves at +440. The total points line is set at 226.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-107 San Antonio.

The Spurs (-105) have a 2-3-0 ATS record this season, while the Timberwolves (-115) hold a record of 5-1-0.
The Spurs have a 1-3-1 O/U record this season (meaning one game has gone over the total points line, three have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Timberwolves have a 3-3-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Spurs are averaging 116.6 points per game this season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Timberwolves are averaging +4.9 more at 121.5 points (2nd).
Defensively, the Spurs are giving up 110.0 points per game this season (T10th in the league), while the Timberwolves are giving up an average of 106.7 points (7th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Spurs currently rank 17th for pace this season, recording 99.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Timberwolves sit 9th on that scale with 101.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 40.5% of the Spurs' field goal attempts come from three point range (14th in the league), leaving 59.5% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents are taking 41.4% of their attempts from three (11th) and 58.6% from two.
Comparatively, Minnesota takes 43.9% of shots from three (7th), leaving 56.1% from two, while San Antonio's opponents are attempting 35.9% from three (2nd) and 64.1% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Spurs are shooting 34.6% from deep in 2026/27 (18th in the NBA), compared to the Timberwolves who are making 39.0% of their attempts (3rd).
On the opposite end, San Antonio is holding opponents to 39.4% of their three-point attempts (28th), while Minnesota's opponents are doing it tougher, hitting 30.5% of their shots (5th).

Ball Protection

The Spurs are committing 13.2 turnovers per game this season, ranking 1st in the league, while the Timberwolves are forcing 16.5 turnovers (T14th).
Flipping that script, San Antonio is forcing 16.8 turnovers (13th), while Minnesota is committing 16.2 (T16th).

Crashing the Boards

San Antonio is pulling down 45.0 rebounds per game this season (13th in the league), including 11.6 offensive boards (19th). Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 42.7 rebounds (8th), 10.5 of which have come on the offensive end (7th).
Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are averaging 50.2 rebounds (2nd) and 14.0 offensive rebounds (8th), while the Spurs are allowing 44.8 and 10.2, ranking T17th and 6th.

Back-to-backs

Notably, the Spurs are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
San Antonio holds a 14-0 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back since the beginning of last season, as well as a 12-5-0 ATS record and 6-11-0 O/U record.
Additionally, Minnesota had a 10-3 W-L record, 7-6-0 ATS record and 5-8-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back last season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2026/27.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
San Antonio	2-3-0	1-2-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	0-1-0	7-3-0
Minnesota	5-1-0	2-1-0	3-0-0	2-1-0	3-0-0	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2026/27.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
San Antonio	2-3-0	1-2-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	0-1-0	5-5-0
Minnesota	5-1-0	2-1-0	3-0-0	2-1-0	3-0-0	6-3-1

HT/FT

San Antonio is -300 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Minnesota is +500.

The Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 40.0% of games this season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 66.7% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +2200 to go to overtime.

The Spurs have played in four games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in two of San Antonio's five games this season. Meanwhile, two of Minnesota's six games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

San Antonio recorded a 139-109 blowout victory against Minnesota at Target Center when these teams last met in Game 6 of last season's Western Conference Semi-finals. Stephon Castle came up big on that day, scoring 32 points and adding 11 rebounds.