NBA Prop Bets: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers (November 4, 2026)

The Cleveland Cavaliers (4-3) face the Oklahoma City Thunder (5-2) at Paycom Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday's matchup. The Thunder are favored to win at -138, currently marked as 2.5-point favorites, while the Cavaliers are at +117. The total points line is set at 228.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-113 Oklahoma City.

• The Thunder (-115) have a 4-3-0 ATS record this season, while the Cavaliers (-105) hold a record of 1-5-1.
• The Thunder have a 1-6-0 O/U record this season (meaning one game has gone over the total points line and six have gone under). The Cavaliers have a 3-4-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Thunder are averaging 108.0 points per game this season (25th in the league). Comparatively, the Cavaliers are averaging +11.7 more at 119.7 points (5th).
• Defensively, the Thunder are giving up 107.7 points per game this season (7th in the league), while the Cavaliers are giving up an average of 116.1 points (23rd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Thunder currently rank 25th for pace this season, recording 97.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Cavaliers sit 8th on that scale with 100.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 35.2% of the Thunder's field goal attempts come from three point range (28th in the league), leaving 64.8% from two. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers' opponents are taking 41.0% of their attempts from three (21st) and 59.0% from two.
• Comparatively, Cleveland takes 45.1% of shots from three (7th), leaving 54.9% from two, while Oklahoma City's opponents are attempting 46.5% from three (T25th) and 53.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Thunder are shooting an underwhelming 32.0% from deep in 2026/27 (26th in the NBA), compared to the Cavaliers who are making 36.9% of their attempts (9th).
• On the opposite end, Oklahoma City is holding opponents to 35.5% of their three-point attempts (18th), while Cleveland's opponents are hitting 34.3% of their shots (11th).

Ball Protection

• The Thunder are committing just 13.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 3rd in the league. As such, the Cavaliers aren't likely to pressurise their opponents in this area given they're forcing only 13.7 turnovers per contest (27th).
• Flipping that script, Oklahoma City is forcing 14.9 turnovers (T21st), while Cleveland is committing 14.0 (4th).

Crashing the Boards

• Oklahoma City is pulling down 46.6 rebounds per game this season (9th in the league), including 12.9 offensive boards (T10th). Conversely, Cleveland's opponents are averaging a whopping 46.4 rebounds (25th), 13.4 of which have come on the offensive end (T22nd).
• Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are averaging 47.9 rebounds (4th) and 11.6 offensive rebounds (17th), while the Thunder are allowing 44.7 and 12.9, ranking T15th and 19th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2026/27.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Oklahoma City	3-4-0	2-1-0	1-3-0	3-2-0	0-2-0	4-6-0
Cleveland	4-3-0	2-2-0	2-1-0	2-3-0	2-0-0	5-5-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2026/27.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Oklahoma City	3-4-0	1-2-0	2-2-0	2-3-0	1-1-0	4-6-0
Cleveland	3-4-0	1-3-0	2-1-0	2-3-0	1-1-0	3-7-0

HT/FT

• The Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 42.9% of games this season, while the Cavaliers have completed the HT/FT double in 28.6% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Thunder have played in six games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Cavaliers have appeared in seven.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in two of Oklahoma City's seven games this season. Meanwhile, six of Cleveland's seven games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Oklahoma City recorded a 117-112 victory over Cleveland at Rocket Arena when these teams last met on November 2. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander erupted for 43 points on that day. The Thunder have now won four straight against the Cavaliers.