NBA Prop Bets: New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves (November 6, 2026)

The Minnesota Timberwolves (6-3) face the New Orleans Pelicans (4-4) at Smoothie King Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Timberwolves opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.5, leaving the Timberwolves at -174 and Pelicans at +146. The total points line is set at 230.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 117-114 Minnesota.

• The Pelicans (-103) have a 5-1-2 ATS record this season, while the Timberwolves (-117) hold a record of 8-1-0.
• The Pelicans have a 5-3-0 O/U record this season (meaning five games have gone over the total points line and three have gone under). The Timberwolves have a 5-4-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Pelicans are averaging 121.6 points per game this season (3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Timberwolves are averaging 118.8 (6th).
• Defensively, the Pelicans are giving up a whopping 119.3 points per game this season (25th in the league), while the Timberwolves are giving up an average of 107.6 points (T4th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Pelicans currently rank 3rd for pace this season, recording 102.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Timberwolves sit 10th on that scale with 100.4 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 32.1% of the Pelicans' field goal attempts come from three point range (30th in the league), leaving 67.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents are taking 41.6% of their attempts from three (T12th) and 58.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Minnesota takes 42.8% of shots from three (11th), leaving 57.2% from two, while New Orleans' opponents are attempting 43.7% from three (20th) and 56.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Pelicans are shooting an underwhelming 31.7% from deep in 2026/27 (26th in the NBA), compared to the Timberwolves who are making 38.0% of their attempts (6th).
• On the opposite end, New Orleans is holding opponents to 31.3% of their three-point attempts (5th), while Minnesota's opponents are hitting 31.5% of their shots (8th).

Ball Protection

• The Pelicans are committing 17.4 turnovers per game this season, ranking T24th in the league. The Timberwolves may be well placed to take advantage of those numbers given they're forcing 17.1 turnovers per contest (T9th).
• Flipping that script, New Orleans is forcing 17.9 turnovers (7th), while Minnesota is committing 15.4 (12th).

Crashing the Boards

• New Orleans is pulling down 44.9 rebounds per game this season (11th in the league), including 10.9 offensive boards (20th). Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 44.3 rebounds (15th), 12.3 of which have come on the offensive end (15th).
• Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are averaging 49.2 rebounds (2nd) and 14.8 offensive rebounds (1st), while the Pelicans are allowing 44.0 and 11.1, ranking T13th and 10th.

First Quarter Winner

New Orleans is +110 to win the first quarter, while Minnesota is -130. Here are their first quarter records in 2026/27.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
New Orleans	3-4-1	1-3-1	2-1-0	0-1-1	3-3-0	3-6-1
Minnesota	7-2-0	3-1-0	4-1-0	3-1-0	4-1-0	7-3-0

First Half Winner

New Orleans is +130 to win the first half and Minnesota is -155. Here are their first half records in 2026/27.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
New Orleans	5-3-0	4-1-0	1-2-0	2-0-0	3-3-0	5-5-0
Minnesota	7-1-1	3-1-0	4-0-1	3-1-0	4-0-1	7-2-1

HT/FT

New Orleans is +195 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Minnesota is -105.

• The Pelicans have completed the HT/FT double in 37.5% of games this season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 55.6% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Friday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

• The Pelicans have played in eight games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in six of New Orleans' eight games this season. Meanwhile, three of Minnesota's nine games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Minnesota recorded a 132-126 victory over New Orleans at Target Center when these teams last met on April 12, 2026. Despite being on the losing side, Derik Queen was immense on that day, recording a 30-point, 22-rebound double-double.