NFL Prop Bets: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots - Week 2

The New England Patriots (0-1) face the Miami Dolphins (0-1) at Hard Rock Stadium for Week 2. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Dolphins are favored to win at -118, currently marked as 1.5-point favorites, while the Patriots are at -103.

The total points line is set at 43.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -113, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 22-21 Miami.

  • The Patriots (-121) have a 7-10-1 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Dolphins (+100) hold a record of 7-11-0 across the same span.

Points on the board

  • The Patriots have scored 16.8 points per game since the beginning of last season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Dolphins have averaged 19.6 over the same span (23rd).
  • Defensively, the Patriots have conceded 24.3 points per game since the beginning of last season (22nd in the league), while the Dolphins have given up an average of 22.1 points over that span (T13th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 294.4, the Patriots rank 30th in the league for total yards per game since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Dolphins rank 21st with 319.1 yards per game over the same span.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Patriots have given up 345.4 per game since the beginning of last season (22nd in the league), an inferior number to the Dolphins who have allowed an average of 320.2 (8th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Patriots have recorded 181.7 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (32nd in the league). Comparatively, the Dolphins' defense has given up 213.6 passing yards per game (12th) across the same period.
  • Meanwhile, the Dolphins have recorded 215.0 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (18th in the league), while the Patriots' defense has given up 218.3 passing yards per game (17th) across the same period.

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Patriots have recorded 112.7 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (15th in the league). Although not a bad number, they may still find it difficult to perform against a Dolphins defense which ranks 10th for opponent rushing yards across the same period, allowing 106.6 per game.
  • On the other hand, the Dolphins have recorded 104.1 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (23rd in the league), while the Patriots are giving up 127.2 rushing yards per game (22nd).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Patriots have recorded 13 total takeaways since the beginning of last season (30th in the league), while the Dolphins have recorded 16 (27th).
  • On offense, the Patriots have recorded 24 total giveaways since the beginning of last season (T21st in the league), while the Dolphins have recorded 24 (T21st).
  • On offense, both teams have recorded 24 total giveaways since the beginning of last season (T21st in the league).

First to Score

The Patriots are -106 to score first, while the Dolphins are -125.

  • The Patriots have scored first in nine of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Dolphins have scored first in 10 of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Patriots are +105 to record the first touchdown, while the Dolphins are -125.

  • The Patriots have recorded the first touchdown in nine of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Dolphins have recorded the first touchdown in eight of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    New England Touchdown7 / 18+271
    New England Field Goal2 / 18+303
    New England Safety0 / 18+6800
    Miami Touchdown6 / 18+220
    Miami Field Goal4 / 18+298
    Miami Safety0 / 18+7500

Which team will get a quick start?

The Patriots are +102 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Dolphins are -125.

  • The Patriots have been the first to score 10 points in nine of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Dolphins have been the first to score 10 points in eight of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Dolphins are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -130, while the Patriots are +110.

  • The Patriots have a 7-7-4 first quarter W/L/T record since the beginning of last season, while the Dolphins hold a record of 8-6-4 across the same span.

Last Time They Met

The Dolphins recorded a 34-15 victory over the Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium when these teams last met in Week 12, 2024. The Dolphins have now won four straight against the Patriots.