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NFL Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons - Week 15

The Atlanta Falcons (4-9) face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) at Raymond James Stadium for Week 15. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Buccaneers started the week as 4.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 6.0, leaving the Buccaneers at -286 and Falcons at +230.

The total points line is set at 43.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 25-19 Tampa Bay.

  • These teams share a 5-8-0 ATS record this season. The Falcons are -108 to cover the spread while the Buccaneers are -113.
  • The Falcons have a 6-6-1 O/U record this season (meaning six games have gone over the total points line, six have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Buccaneers have a 7-6-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

  • The Falcons are averaging 19.4 points per game this season (27th in the league). Comparatively, the Buccaneers are performing better, averaging 23.0 (T17th).
  • Defensively, the Falcons are giving up 24.1 points per game this season (20th in the league), while the Buccaneers are giving up an average of 25.0 points (23rd).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 330.0, the Falcons rank 16th in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Buccaneers rank 22nd with 315.0 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Falcons are giving up 322.5 per game this season (14th in the league), while the Buccaneers are giving up an average of 338.4 (21st).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Falcons have recorded 206.4 passing yards per game this season (18th in the league). However, coming up against a Buccaneers defense that is giving up 237.8 passing yards per game (27th) could mean the former are set to boost their numbers.
  • Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have recorded 199.8 passing yards per game this season (20th in the league), while the Falcons' defense has given up 191.5 passing yards per game (9th).

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Falcons have recorded 123.6 rushing yards per game this season (12th in the league). Conversely, the Buccaneers are giving up 100.6 rushing yards per game (8th).
  • On the other hand, the Buccaneers have recorded 115.2 rushing yards per game this season (20th in the league). The Falcons rank slightly worse when defending the run, sitting 24th while conceding 131.0 per game.

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Falcons have recorded 16 total takeaways this season (T14th in the league), while the Buccaneers have recorded 19 (7th).
  • On offense, the Falcons have recorded 14 total giveaways this season (T11th in the league), while the Buccaneers have recorded 10 (T3rd).

First to Score

The Falcons are -125 to score first, while the Buccaneers are -106.

  • The Falcons have scored first in seven of their 13 games this season.
  • The Buccaneers have scored first in six of their 13 games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Falcons are +135 to record the first touchdown, while the Buccaneers are -165.

  • The Falcons have recorded the first touchdown in five of their 13 games this season.
  • The Buccaneers have recorded the first touchdown in six of their 13 games this season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Atlanta Touchdown2 / 13+272
    Atlanta Field Goal5 / 13+279
    Atlanta Safety0 / 13+7000
    Tampa Bay Touchdown3 / 13+192
    Tampa Bay Field Goal3 / 13+399
    Tampa Bay Safety0 / 13+6800

Which team will get a quick start?

The Falcons are +158 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Buccaneers are -196.

  • The Falcons have been the first to score 10 points in six of their 13 games this season.
  • The Buccaneers have been the first to score 10 points in eight of their 13 games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Buccaneers are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -155, while the Falcons are +130.

  • The Falcons have a 5-3-5 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Buccaneers hold a record of 2-6-5.

Last Time They Met

The Buccaneers recorded a 23-20 victory over the Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium when these teams last met in Week 1, 2025.