NFL Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins - Week 15

The Miami Dolphins (6-7) face the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) at Acrisure Stadium for Week 15. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Steelers started the week as 3.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.0, leaving the Steelers at -167 and Dolphins at +140.

The total points line is set at 42.5, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 23-20 Pittsburgh.

• The Dolphins (-110) have a 7-6-0 ATS record this season, while the Steelers (-110) hold a record of 6-7-0.
• The Dolphins have a 7-5-1 O/U record this season (meaning seven games have gone over the total points line, five have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Steelers have a 7-6-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

• The Dolphins are averaging 21.6 points per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Steelers are averaging 23.7 (T14th).
• Defensively, the Dolphins are giving up 22.8 points per game this season (15th in the league), while the Steelers are giving up an average of 23.9 points (19th).

Moving the chains

• With an average of 304.6, the Dolphins rank 25th in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Steelers rank 27th with 284.5 yards per game.
• In terms of yards allowed, the Dolphins are giving up 334.5 per game this season (19th in the league), while the Steelers are giving up an average of 369.3 (28th).

Ascendency in the air

• The Dolphins have recorded 178.2 passing yards per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Steelers' defense has given up 244.0 passing yards per game (28th).
• Meanwhile, the Steelers have recorded 195.2 passing yards per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Dolphins' defense has given up 202.6 passing yards per game (12th).

Advantage on the ground

• Looking at the ground game, the Dolphins have recorded 126.5 rushing yards per game this season (8th in the league). This should be an area of focus for the Steelers, who rank 21st for opponent rushing yards, conceding 125.3 per game.
• On the other hand, the Steelers have recorded 89.2 rushing yards per game this season (29th in the league), while the Dolphins are giving up 131.9 rushing yards per game (25th).

Protecting the ball

• Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Dolphins have recorded 17 total takeaways this season (T10th in the league), while the Steelers have recorded 23 (T2nd).
• On offense, the Dolphins have recorded 18 total giveaways this season (T23rd in the league), while the Steelers have taken better care of the ball, recording 14 (T11th).

First to Score

The Dolphins are -130 to score first, while the Steelers are +100.

• The Dolphins have scored first in nine of their 13 games this season.
• The Steelers have scored first in seven of their 13 games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Dolphins are +105 to record the first touchdown, while the Steelers are -130.

• The Dolphins have recorded the first touchdown in eight of their 13 games this season.
• The Steelers have also recorded the first touchdown in eight of their 13 games.

First Scoring Play

Play	Frequency	Odds
Miami Touchdown	5 / 13	+253
Miami Field Goal	4 / 13	+247
Miami Safety	0 / 13	+7400
Pittsburgh Touchdown	4 / 13	+259
Pittsburgh Field Goal	3 / 13	+333
Pittsburgh Safety	0 / 13	+6500

Which team will get a quick start?

The Dolphins are +118 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Steelers are -145.

• The Dolphins have been the first to score 10 points in seven of their 13 games this season.
• The Steelers have been the first to score 10 points in 11 of their 13 games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Steelers are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -121, while the Dolphins are +100.

• These teams share a 7-4-2 first quarter W/L/T record this season.

Last Time They Met

The Dolphins recorded a 16-10 victory over the Steelers at Hard Rock Stadium when these teams last met in Week 7, 2022.