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NFL Prop Bets: New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers - Wild Card Round

The Los Angeles Chargers (11-6) face the New England Patriots (14-3) at Gillette Stadium for Wild Card Round. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Patriots are favored to win at -196, currently marked as 3.5-point favorites, while the Chargers are at +164.

The total points line is set at 45.5, with OVER at -113 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 24-21 New England.

  • The Chargers (-106) have a 9-8-0 ATS record this season, while the Patriots (-115) hold a record of 12-5-0.
  • The Chargers have a 6-10-1 O/U record this season (meaning six games have gone over the total points line, 10 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Patriots have an 11-6-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

  • The Chargers averaged 21.6 points per game during the regular season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Patriots performed better, averaging 28.8 (2nd).
  • Defensively, the Chargers gave up 20.0 points per game during the regular season (9th in the league), while the Patriots gave up an average of 18.8 points (4th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 333.8, the Chargers ranked 12th in the league for total yards per game during the regular season. Comparatively, the Patriots ranked 3rd with 379.4 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Chargers gave up 285.2 per game during the regular season (5th in the league), while the Patriots gave up an average of 295.2 (8th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Chargers recorded 212.2 passing yards per game during the regular season (18th in the league). As such, the Patriots should look upon this matchup favorably given they allowed 193.5 passing yards per game (9th).
  • Meanwhile, the Patriots recorded 250.5 passing yards per game during the regular season (4th in the league), while the Chargers' defense was effective, conceding just 179.9 passing yards per game (5th).

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Chargers recorded 121.6 rushing yards per game during the regular season (12th in the league). Conversely, the Patriots gave up 101.7 rushing yards per game (6th).
  • On the other hand, the Patriots recorded 128.9 rushing yards per game during the regular season (6th in the league), while the Chargers are giving up 105.4 rushing yards per game (8th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Chargers recorded 23 total takeaways during the regular season (T7th in the league), while the Patriots failed to perform at the same level, recording 19 (T19th).
  • On offense, the Chargers recorded 21 total giveaways during the regular season (T17th in the league), while the Patriots recorded 16 (T9th).

First to Score

The Chargers are +110 to score first, while the Patriots are -141.

  • The Chargers have scored first in nine of their 17 games this season.
  • The Patriots have scored first in eight of their 17 games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Chargers are +130 to record the first touchdown, while the Patriots are -165.

  • The Chargers have recorded the first touchdown in eight of their 17 games this season.
  • The Patriots have recorded the first touchdown in seven of their 17 games this season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    LA Chargers Touchdown5 / 17+294
    LA Chargers Field Goal4 / 17+346
    LA Chargers Safety0 / 17+6800
    New England Touchdown5 / 17+171
    New England Field Goal3 / 17+331
    New England Safety0 / 17+7000

Which team will get a quick start?

The Chargers are +135 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Patriots are -167.

  • The Chargers have been the first to score 10 points in eight of their 17 games this season.
  • The Patriots have been the first to score 10 points in 12 of their 17 games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Patriots are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -155, while the Chargers are +130.

  • The Chargers have a 7-9-1 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Patriots hold a record of 8-6-3.

Last Time They Met

The Chargers recorded a 40-7 beatdown over the Patriots at Gillette Stadium when these teams last met in Week 17, 2024.