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NFL Prop Bets: Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears - Week 5

The Chicago Bears (3-1) face the Green Bay Packers (2-2) at Lambeau Field for Week 5. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Bears started the week as 2.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.0, leaving the Bears at -148 and Packers at +124.

The total points line is set at 45.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 24-21 Chicago.

  • The Bears (-102) have a 3-1-0 ATS record this season, while the Packers (-118) hold a record of 1-2-1.
  • The Bears have a 1-3-0 O/U record this season (meaning one game has gone over the total points line and three have gone under). The Packers have a 2-2-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

  • The Bears are averaging 28.0 points per game this season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Packers are averaging only 18.3 (28th).
  • Defensively, the Bears are giving up only 16.3 points per game this season (4th in the league), while the Packers are giving up an average of 26.3 points (23rd).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 429.0, the Bears rank 1st in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Packers rank 20th with just 307.3 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Bears are giving up 282.3 per game this season (3rd in the league), outperforming the Packers, who are giving up an average of 324.3 (14th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Bears have recorded 232.8 passing yards per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Packers' defense has given up 185.0 passing yards per game (4th).
  • Meanwhile, the Packers have recorded 249.3 passing yards per game this season (11th in the league), while the Bears' defense has given up 179.8 passing yards per game (3rd).

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Bears have recorded 196.3 rushing yards per game this season (1st in the league). Conversely, the Packers are giving up 139.3 rushing yards per game (28th).
  • On the other hand, the Packers have recorded 58.0 rushing yards per game this season (32nd in the league), while the Bears are giving up 102.5 rushing yards per game (13th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Bears have recorded 6 total takeaways this season (11th in the league), while the Packers have recorded 4 (T17th).
  • On offense, the Bears have recorded 5 total giveaways this season (T13th in the league), while the Packers have recorded 6 (T22nd).

First to Score

The Bears are -130 to score first, while the Packers are +100.

  • The Bears have scored first in two of their four games this season.
  • The Packers have scored first in each of their four games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Bears are -135 to record the first touchdown, while the Packers are +110.

  • The Bears have recorded the first touchdown in two of their four games this season.
  • The Packers have recorded the first touchdown in four of their four games this season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Chicago Touchdown2 / 4+181
    Chicago Field Goal0 / 4+352
    Chicago Safety0 / 4+6800
    Green Bay Touchdown3 / 4+246
    Green Bay Field Goal1 / 4+366
    Green Bay Safety0 / 4+7000

Which team will get a quick start?

The Bears are -143 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Packers are +116.

  • The Bears have been the first to score 10 points in three of their four games this season.
  • The Packers have been the first to score 10 points in two of their four games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Bears are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -130, while the Packers are +110.

  • The Bears have a 3-0-1 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Packers hold a record of 1-0-3.

Last Time They Met

The Bears recorded a 31-27 victory over the Packers at Soldier Field when these teams last met in the Wild Card Round of the 2025 season.