NFL Prop Bets: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots - Week 8

The New England Patriots (4-3) face the Miami Dolphins (1-5) at Hard Rock Stadium for Week 8. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Patriots started the week as 7.0-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 7.5, leaving the Patriots at -395 and Dolphins at +310.

The total points line is set at 44.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 26-18 New England.

The Patriots (-105) have a 3-2-2 ATS record this season, while the Dolphins (-115) hold a record of 2-3-1.
The Patriots have a 4-3-0 O/U record this season (meaning four games have gone over the total points line and three have gone under). The Dolphins have a 3-3-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

The Patriots are averaging 22.9 points per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Dolphins are averaging only 16.3 (30th).
Defensively, the Patriots are giving up only 20.4 points per game this season (T9th in the league), while the Dolphins are giving up an average of 26.2 points (25th).

Moving the chains

With an average of 375.0, the Patriots rank 7th in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Dolphins rank 27th with just 293.5 yards per game.
In terms of yards allowed, the Patriots are giving up 315.7 per game this season (10th in the league), while the Dolphins are giving up an average of 337.7 (16th).

Ascendency in the air

The Patriots have recorded 253.0 passing yards per game this season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Dolphins' defense has given up 227.5 passing yards per game (19th).
Meanwhile, the Dolphins have recorded 162.0 passing yards per game this season (30th in the league), while the Patriots' defense has given up 220.4 passing yards per game (15th).

Advantage on the ground

Looking at the ground game, the Patriots have recorded 122.0 rushing yards per game this season (11th in the league). Conversely, the Dolphins are giving up 110.2 rushing yards per game (16th).
On the other hand, the Dolphins have recorded 131.5 rushing yards per game this season (7th in the league), although the Patriots have been effective at stopping the run, conceding just 95.3 yards per game (8th).

Protecting the ball

Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Patriots have recorded 7 total takeaways this season (T20th in the league), while the Dolphins have recorded 5 (29th).
On offense, the Patriots have recorded 14 total giveaways this season (31st in the league), while the Dolphins have taken better care of the ball, recording 8 (T15th).

First to Score

The Patriots are -166 to score first, while the Dolphins are +130.

The Patriots have scored first in four of their seven games this season.
The Dolphins have scored first in one of their six games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Patriots are -195 to record the first touchdown, while the Dolphins are +160.

The Patriots have recorded the first touchdown in five of their seven games this season.
The Dolphins have recorded the first touchdown in two of their six games this season.

First Scoring Play

Play	Frequency	Odds
New England Touchdown	4 / 7	+144
New England Field Goal	0 / 7	+345
New England Safety	0 / 7	+6500
Miami Touchdown	1 / 6	+333
Miami Field Goal	0 / 6	+374
Miami Safety	0 / 6	+6400

Which team will get a quick start?

The Patriots are -225 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Dolphins are +178.

The Patriots have been the first to score 10 points in five of their seven games this season.
The Dolphins have been the first to score 10 points in one of their six games this season.