NHL Prop Bets: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning (December 8, 2025)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-10-2) face the Toronto Maple Leafs (13-11-4) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Monday's matchup.

  • Both teams share a 12-16 Puck Line record this season.
  • The Lightning have a 12-15-1 O/U record this season (meaning 12 games have gone over the total points line, 15 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Maple Leafs have an 18-9-1 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Lightning are averaging 3.14 goals per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.39 (6th).
  • Defensively, the Lightning are giving up only 2.61 goals per game this season (6th in the league), while the Maple Leafs are giving up an average of 3.29 goals (T21st).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay is averaging 27.4 shots per game this season (18th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Toronto is allowing its opposition 31.4 shots per game (31st).
  • Flipping that script, the Lightning are allowing 27.2 shots per game (12th in the NHL), while the Maple Leafs are averaging 27.1 shots (20th).

Power Play

  • Tampa Bay holds a power play percentage of 15.9%, ranking 24th in the league this season, while Toronto sits 30th with 14.1% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Lightning have a penalty kill rate of 86.7% (ranked 3rd), compared to the Maple Leafs at 81.5% (13th).

P1 Result

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Tampa Bay 14-7-7 7-5-3 7-2-4 5-2-3
    Toronto 10-7-11 5-4-7 5-3-4 4-1-5

To Go To Overtime

  • The Lightning have played in 5 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Maple Leafs have appeared in 8.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Lightning have played in 0 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Maple Leafs have appeared in 1.

Last Time They Met

Toronto recorded a 3-4 overtime victory over Tampa Bay at Benchmark International Arena when these teams last met on April 9, 2025. Matthew Knies led the way to that result, scoring 3 goals. The Maple Leafs have now won four straight against the Lightning.