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NHL Prop Bets: Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning (January 10, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (26-13-3) face the Philadelphia Flyers (22-12-8) at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup.

  • The Lightning have a 20-22 Puck Line record this season, while the Flyers hold a record of 28-14.

The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at -130 and UNDER at +110.

  • The Lightning have a 21-20-1 O/U record this season (meaning 21 games have gone over the total points line, 20 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Flyers have a 22-19-1 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Lightning are averaging 3.45 goals per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Flyers are averaging only 2.98 (21st).
  • Defensively, the Lightning are giving up only 2.64 goals per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Flyers are giving up an average of 2.79 goals (9th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay is averaging 27.4 shots per game this season (20th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Philadelphia is allowing its opposition 25.5 shots per game (5th).
  • Flipping that script, the Lightning are allowing only 26.7 shots per game (7th in the NHL), while the Flyers are averaging just 26.2 shots (25th).

Power Play

  • Tampa Bay holds a power play percentage of 20.0%, ranking 15th in the league this season, while Philadelphia sits 30th with 15.0% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Lightning have a penalty kill rate of 83.6% (ranked 5th), compared to the Flyers at 80.5% (14th).

P1 Result

Tampa Bay is +160 to win the first period, while Philadelphia is +205.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Tampa Bay 22-12-8 10-7-4 12-5-4 6-3-1
    Philadelphia 11-15-16 6-7-9 5-8-7 3-2-5

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +280 to go to overtime.

  • The Lightning have played in 8 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Flyers have appeared in 15.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Lightning have played in 2 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Flyers have appeared in 8.

Last Time They Met

Tampa Bay recorded a 3-0 victory over Philadelphia at Benchmark International Arena when these teams last met on November 24. Brandon Hagel led the way to that result, recording 2 goals and 1 assist.