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NHL Prop Bets: Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning (January 18, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (29-13-4) face the Dallas Stars (27-12-9) at American Airlines Center. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Stars opened as favorites, but the Lightning have since moved into favoritism at -118 to win and +210 to cover the -1.5 puck line. The Stars are -258 to cover the +1.5 puck line.

  • The Lightning have a 22-24 Puck Line record this season, while the Stars hold a record of 19-29.

The total goals line is set at 5.5, with OVER at -130 and UNDER at +110.

  • The Lightning have a 22-22-2 O/U record this season (meaning 22 games have gone over the total points line, 22 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Stars have a 23-24-1 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Lightning are averaging 3.48 goals per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Stars are averaging 3.31 (8th).
  • Defensively, the Lightning are giving up only 2.54 goals per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Stars are giving up an average of 2.75 goals (5th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay is averaging 27.5 shots per game this season (20th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Dallas is allowing its opposition 27.9 shots per game (13th).
  • Flipping that script, the Lightning are allowing only 26.3 shots per game (7th in the NHL), while the Stars are averaging just 25.3 shots (29th).

Power Play

  • Tampa Bay holds a power play percentage of 21.1%, ranking 14th in the league this season, while Dallas sits 2nd with 28.8% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Lightning have a penalty kill rate of 83.9% (ranked 4th), compared to the Stars at 79.7% (16th).

P1 Result

Tampa Bay is +180 to win the first period, while Dallas is +185.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Tampa Bay 24-13-9 10-7-4 14-6-5 6-2-2
    Dallas 18-11-19 8-6-7 10-5-12 4-1-5

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +280 to go to overtime.

  • The Lightning have played in 10 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Stars have appeared in 13.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Lightning have played in 4 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Stars have appeared in 6.

Last Time They Met

Tampa Bay recorded a 2-1 overtime victory over Dallas at Benchmark International Arena when these teams last met on October 30.