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NHL Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres (February 3, 2026)

The Buffalo Sabres (32-18-5) face the Tampa Bay Lightning (35-14-4) at Benchmark International Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup.

  • The Sabres have a 32-23 Puck Line record this season, while the Lightning hold a record of 26-27.

The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -120.

  • The Sabres have a 26-26-3 O/U record this season (meaning 26 games have gone over the total points line, 26 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Lightning have a 24-27-2 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Sabres are averaging 3.40 goals per game this season (T5th in the league). Comparatively, the Lightning are averaging 3.49 (2nd).
  • Defensively, the Sabres are giving up 3.04 goals per game this season (14th in the league), while the Lightning are giving up an average of 2.53 goals (2nd).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Buffalo is averaging just 27.7 shots per game this season (19th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is at the opposite end of the spectrum while defending, allowing its opposition only 26.2 shots per game (7th).
  • Flipping that script, the Sabres are allowing 30.0 shots per game (28th in the NHL), while the Lightning are averaging 28.0 shots (16th).

Power Play

  • Buffalo holds a power play percentage of 19.9%, ranking 18th in the league this season, while Tampa Bay sits 12th with 22.0% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Sabres have a penalty kill rate of 82.6% (ranked 8th), compared to the Lightning at 84.2% (3rd).

P1 Result

Buffalo is +240 to win the first period, while Tampa Bay is +130.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Buffalo 17-21-17 10-9-8 7-12-9 4-2-4
    Tampa Bay 25-16-12 11-8-6 14-8-6 2-4-4

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +295 to go to overtime.

  • The Sabres have played in 11 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Lightning have appeared in 12.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Sabres have played in 3 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Lightning have appeared in 6.

Last Time They Met

Tampa Bay recorded an upset 4-7 victory over Buffalo at Benchmark International Arena when these teams last met on April 13, 2025. Nikita Kucherov led the way to that result, recording 2 goals and 1 assist.