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NHL Prop Bets: Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning (February 26, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (38-14-4) face the Carolina Hurricanes (36-15-6) at Lenovo Center. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Hurricanes are favored to win at -155. They're currently +170 to cover the -1.5 puck line while the Lightning are -205 to cover the +1.5 puck line.

  • The Lightning have a 28-28 Puck Line record this season, while the Hurricanes hold a record of 21-36.

The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at +105 and UNDER at -125.

  • The Lightning have a 26-27-3 O/U record this season (meaning 26 games have gone over the total points line, 27 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Hurricanes have a 29-27-1 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Lightning are averaging 3.55 goals per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Hurricanes are averaging 3.39 (T6th).
  • Defensively, the Lightning are giving up only 2.50 goals per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Hurricanes are giving up an average of 2.81 goals (6th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay is averaging 28.3 shots per game this season (16th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Carolina is allowing its opposition 24.4 shots per game (1st).
  • Flipping that script, the Lightning are allowing 26.5 shots per game (7th in the NHL), while the Hurricanes are averaging 31.9 shots (2nd).

Power Play

  • Tampa Bay holds a power play percentage of 21.9%, ranking 12th in the league this season, while Carolina sits 14th with 21.6% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Lightning have a penalty kill rate of 83.5% (ranked 5th), compared to the Hurricanes at 80.6% (11th).

P1 Result

Tampa Bay is +205 to win the first period, while Carolina is +155.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Tampa Bay 26-16-14 12-8-8 14-8-6 2-3-5
    Carolina 24-16-17 13-9-9 11-7-8 6-0-4

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +275 to go to overtime.

  • The Lightning have played in 13 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Hurricanes have appeared in 16.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Lightning have played in 6 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Hurricanes have appeared in 7.

Last Time They Met

Tampa Bay recorded a 6-4 victory over Carolina at Benchmark International Arena when these teams last met on December 20. Jake Guentzel led the way to that result, scoring 2 goals.