NHL Prop Bets: Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning (March 3, 2026)
The Tampa Bay Lightning (38-16-4) face the Minnesota Wild (35-16-10) at Grand Casino Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup.
- The Lightning have a 29-29 Puck Line record this season, while the Wild hold a record of 31-30.
The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at +110 and UNDER at -130.
- The Lightning have a 28-27-3 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total points line, 27 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Wild have a 35-24-2 O/U record.
Goals For Insights
- The Lightning are averaging 3.53 goals per game this season (2nd in the league). Comparatively, the Wild are averaging only 3.28 (12th).
- Defensively, the Lightning are giving up only 2.60 goals per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Wild are giving up an average of 2.89 goals (10th).
Shots
- Looking at creating chances to score, Tampa Bay is averaging 28.4 shots per game this season (15th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Minnesota is allowing its opposition 30.3 shots per game (30th).
- Flipping that script, the Lightning are allowing 26.8 shots per game (9th in the NHL), while the Wild are averaging 28.8 shots (11th).
Power Play
- Tampa Bay holds a power play percentage of 21.9%, ranking T13th in the league this season, while Minnesota sits 5th with 26.0% of its power play opportunities converted.
Penalty Kill %
- On the opposite end, the Lightning have a penalty kill rate of 83.1% (ranked 5th), compared to the Wild at 77.6% (23rd).
P1 Result
Tampa Bay is +165 to win the first period, while Minnesota is +190.
- Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 26-18-14 | 12-9-8 | 14-9-6 | 2-5-3 |
| Minnesota | 23-17-21 | 12-10-9 | 11-7-12 | 2-3-5 |
To Go To Overtime
Tuesday's matchup is +285 to go to overtime.
- The Lightning have played in 13 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Wild have appeared in 23.
To Go To a Shootout
- The Lightning have played in 6 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Wild have appeared in 7.
Last Time They Met
Minnesota recorded a 3-5 victory over Tampa Bay at Grand Casino Arena when these teams last met on November 1, 2024. Kirill Kaprizov led the way to that result, recording 2 goals and 1 assist.
