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NHL Prop Bets: Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs (March 10, 2026)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-26-11) face the Montreal Canadiens (34-18-10) at Bell Centre. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Canadiens are favored to win at -170. They're currently +145 to cover the -1.5 puck line while the Maple Leafs are -175 to cover the +1.5 puck line.

  • The Maple Leafs have a 26-38 Puck Line record this season, while the Canadiens hold a record of 36-26.

The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.

  • The Maple Leafs have a 36-23-5 O/U record this season (meaning 36 games have gone over the total points line, 23 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Canadiens have a 39-21-2 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Maple Leafs are averaging 3.14 goals per game this season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Canadiens are averaging +0.4 more at 3.55 goals (2nd).
  • Defensively, the Maple Leafs are giving up a whopping 3.48 goals per game this season (30th in the league), while the Canadiens are giving up an average of 3.29 goals (24th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Toronto is averaging 27.5 shots per game this season (21st in the NHL). Meanwhile, Montreal is allowing its opposition 27.6 shots per game (14th).
  • Flipping that script, the Maple Leafs are allowing 32.0 shots per game (32nd in the NHL), while the Canadiens are averaging 26.3 shots (24th).

Power Play

  • Toronto holds a power play percentage of 19.3%, ranking 21st in the league this season, while Montreal sits 7th with 25.1% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Maple Leafs have a penalty kill rate of 82.8% (ranked 4th), easily outperforming the Canadiens, who sit at 76.6% (27th).

P1 Result

Toronto is +220 to win the first period, while Montreal is +140.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Toronto 20-19-25 12-11-11 8-8-14 1-2-7
    Montreal 24-16-22 13-7-10 11-9-12 4-3-3

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +290 to go to overtime.

  • The Maple Leafs have played in 19 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Canadiens have appeared in 21.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Maple Leafs have played in 4 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Canadiens have appeared in 7.

Last Time They Met

Montreal recorded a 1-2 overtime victory over Toronto at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on December 6. That result snapped the Maple Leafs' eight-game winning streak against the Canadiens at Scotiabank Arena.