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NHL Prop Bets: Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals (March 12, 2026)

The Washington Capitals (32-27-7) face the Buffalo Sabres (40-19-6) at KeyBank Center. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup.

  • The Capitals have a 34-32 Puck Line record this season, while the Sabres hold a record of 39-26.

The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.

  • The Capitals have a 29-33-4 O/U record this season (meaning 29 games have gone over the total points line, 33 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Sabres have a 31-31-3 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Capitals are averaging 3.14 goals per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Sabres are averaging +0.4 more at 3.51 goals (5th).
  • Defensively, the Capitals are giving up 2.94 goals per game this season (11th in the league), while the Sabres are giving up an average of 3.02 goals (14th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Washington is averaging 28.9 shots per game this season (9th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Buffalo is at the opposite end of the spectrum while defending, allowing its opposition 29.8 shots per game (27th).
  • Flipping that script, the Capitals are allowing 28.0 shots per game (17th in the NHL), while the Sabres are averaging 28.1 shots (18th).

Power Play

  • Washington holds a power play percentage of 16.7%, ranking T26th in the league this season, while Buffalo sits 16th with 20.8% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Capitals have a penalty kill rate of 78.8% (ranked 18th), compared to the Sabres at 82.5% (4th).

P1 Result

Washington is +250 to win the first period, while Buffalo is +130.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Washington 22-22-22 11-14-9 11-8-13 3-4-3
    Buffalo 22-22-21 13-10-9 9-12-12 5-1-4

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +295 to go to overtime.

  • The Capitals have played in 12 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Sabres have also appeared in 12.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Capitals have played in 6 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Sabres have appeared in 3.

Last Time They Met

Buffalo recorded a 3-4 overtime victory over Washington at KeyBank Center when these teams last met on November 1. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Dylan Strome did all he could for his team, scoring 1 goal. The Sabres have now won three straight against the Capitals.