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NHL Prop Bets: Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs (March 15, 2026)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (28-27-12) face the Minnesota Wild (38-17-12) at Grand Casino Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup.

  • The Maple Leafs have a 28-39 Puck Line record this season, while the Wild hold a record of 35-32.

The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -120.

  • The Maple Leafs have a 37-25-5 O/U record this season (meaning 37 games have gone over the total points line, 25 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Wild have a 35-28-4 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Maple Leafs are averaging 3.13 goals per game this season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Wild are averaging 3.28 (10th).
  • Defensively, the Maple Leafs are giving up a whopping 3.46 goals per game this season (30th in the league), while the Wild are giving up an average of 2.79 goals (5th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Toronto is averaging 27.3 shots per game this season (22nd in the NHL). Meanwhile, Minnesota is allowing its opposition 30.0 shots per game (30th).
  • Flipping that script, the Maple Leafs are allowing 32.1 shots per game (32nd in the NHL), while the Wild are performing better on the other end, averaging 28.9 shots (8th).

Power Play

  • Toronto holds a power play percentage of 19.9%, ranking 20th in the league this season, while Minnesota sits T4th with 25.0% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Maple Leafs have a penalty kill rate of 83.3% (ranked 3rd), compared to the Wild at 78.9% (18th).

P1 Result

Toronto is +275 to win the first period, while Minnesota is +120.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Toronto 20-21-26 12-12-11 8-9-15 0-4-6
    Minnesota 25-19-23 14-12-9 11-7-14 2-3-5

To Go To Overtime

Sunday's matchup is +320 to go to overtime.

  • The Maple Leafs have played in 20 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Wild have appeared in 25.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Maple Leafs have played in 5 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Wild have appeared in 9.

Last Time They Met

Minnesota recorded a 3-6 victory over Toronto at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on January 19. Marcus Foligno led the way to that result, scoring 3 goals. The Wild have now won three straight against the Maple Leafs.